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效率、安全与增长:产业发展多重目标的矛盾与协调

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一国或地区的产业发展经常追求效率、安全与增长等多重目标,这三者既有统一性也有矛盾性,难以同时兼顾,形成产业发展的"不可能三角".理论研究表明:如果选择效率与增长的组合,则难以兼顾产业安全;选择安全与增长的组合,则难以兼顾分工效率;选择效率与安全的组合,则难以兼顾经济增长.空间及动态分析进一步表明,几种组合的选择因为形势变化在不同国家或地区而变得更为复杂.因此,不同国家或地区需因时因地制宜,根据自身条件在不同时期选择不同的应对策略,按照"动态优先目标排序"原则,力求更好统筹效率、安全与增长,促进本国或本地区产业更加平稳健康发展.
Efficiency,Safety and Growth:Contradiction and Coordination of Multiple Objectives of Industrial Development
The industrial development of a country or region often usually pursues the multiple objectives of effi-ciency,safety and growth,which are both unified and contradictory,so it is often difficult to give consideration to them at the same time,resulting in the"impossible trinity"of industrial development.Theoretical research shows that:If we choose the combination of efficiency and growth,it is difficult to give consideration to industrial safety;choosing the combination of security and growth is difficult to give consideration to the efficiency of division of labor;It is difficult to give consideration to economic growth by choosing the combination of efficiency and safety.Spatial and dynamic analysis further shows that the choice of several combinations becomes more complicated because of the change of situation in different countries or regions.Therefore,different countries or regions need to adjust mea-sures to local conditions,choose different coping strategies at different times according to their own conditions,and strive to better coordinate efficiency,safety and growth according to the principle of"dynamic priority target se-quencing"to promote the more stable and healthy development of the country's or local industries.

EfficiencySafetyGrowthImpossible trinity hypothesisDynamic priority target sequencing

陈英武、张睿、孙文杰

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江苏省经济和信息化研究院,江苏南京 210003

南京大学经济学院,江苏南京 210008

南京审计大学经济学院,江苏南京 211815

效率 安全 增长 "不可能三角"假说 动态优先目标排序

国家社会科学基金重大项目

22&ZD093

2024

经济论坛
河北省社会科学院

经济论坛

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.394
ISSN:1003-3580
年,卷(期):2024.(6)
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