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中国农业新质生产力:水平测度、时空分异与收敛性

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全面测度是认识农业新质生产力的基础.文章从劳动者、劳动资料和劳动对象三个维度构建指标体系,采用熵值法测算2011-2021年中国农业新质生产力发展水平,运用Dagum基尼系数法、Kernel密度估计、探索性空间分析和时空收敛模型,揭示中国农业新质生产力的总体发展、区域差异、时空分布与演进及其收敛性.研究结果表明:中国农业新质生产力发展处于中低水平,提升缓慢,农业新质劳动对象是短板;中国农业新质生产力发展区域不平衡,东中西部地区之间、胡焕庸线两侧和不同农业功能区的发展存在显著差异;中国省际农业新质生产力有着显著的梯度发展特征和极化现象;中国农业新质生产力的空间聚集效应主要表现为高-高集聚和低-高集聚,具有σ收敛和条件β收敛特性.应以科技和制度创新为支撑,加快农业新质劳动对象发展,补齐农业新质生产力发展短板,探索区域间资源共享和农业政策协调的新机制,加快农业新质生产力跃升.
The New-Quality Agricultural Productivity in China:Measurement,Spatiotemporal Differentiation and Convergence
Comprehensive measurement is the foundation for understanding the new-quality agricultural pro-ductivity.Based on the index system constructed from the three dimensions of laborers,means of labor,and labor ob-jects,the new-quality agricultural productivity in China from 2011 to 2021 is measured by the entropy method.Da-gum Gini coefficient method,Kernel density estimation,exploratory spatial analysis,and spatiotemporal conver-gence model are used to reveal the overall development,regional differences,spatiotemporal distribution and evolu-tion,and convergence of the new-quality agricultural productivity in China.Results show that:The new-quality ag-ricultural productivity in China is at low levels,with slow improvement,and the new-quality agricultural labor ob-jects are the weakness;the development of the new-quality agricultural productivity in China is regionally uneven,with significant differences in the east,middle,and west,both sides of the Hu-Huanyong Line,and different func-tional agricultural regions;the inter-provincial new-quality agricultural productivity in China has significant charac-teristics of gradient development and polarization;the new-quality agricultural productivity in China has spatial ag-glomeration effects,mainly manifested as high-high agglomeration and low-high agglomeration,with σ convergence and conditional β convergence characteristics.We should take technological and institutional innovation as support,accelerate the development of the new-quality agricultural labor objects,make up for the shortcomings in the new-quality agricultural productivity,explore new mechanisms for resources sharing and agricultural policy coordination between regions,with a view to accelerating the leap of the new-quality agricultural productivity.

The new-quality agricultural productivitySpatiotemporal evolutionEntropy methodConver-gence

张凤兵、王会宗

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山东师范大学经济学院,山东济南 250014

山东大学反垄断与规制经济学研究基地,山东济南 250100

农业新质生产力 时空演进 熵值法 收敛性

国家社会科学基金项目

20BJL082

2024

经济论坛
河北省社会科学院

经济论坛

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.394
ISSN:1003-3580
年,卷(期):2024.(7)
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