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医保预付制改革能否降低医疗费用:基于医疗要素投入的视角

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文章基于医疗要素投入的视角,探究我国医保预付制改革对医疗费用产生的影响效果和作用机制.通过构建包含医生的效用函数理论模型,对后付制和预付制下医疗投入要素的均衡进行求解和比较,并利用医保局124577个参保住院患者的信息进行实证检验.研究结论显示,医保支付方式由后付制转变为预付制后,患者的住院总费用下降10.17%,患者的自费金额下降27.67%,住院天数下降36.82%.从某种意义来说,后付制下供方倾向于提供过度的医疗服务并造成医疗资源的浪费,而预付制改革提供使医疗服务数量回到社会最优水平的路径,即预付制改革显著降低患者的住院总费用,其作用机制对医疗服务供方形成正向激励,具体而言是通过重构医患之间的利益格局,进而改变医生的效用函数和行为模式.基于理论和实证结果,提出相应政策建议.
Whether the Reform of Medical Insurance Pre-payment System can Reduce Medical Expenses:A Perspective Based on the Input of Medical Elements
This paper explores the effect and acting mechanism of China's medical insurance pre-payment system reform on medical cost based on the perspective of medical element input.By constructing a utility function theory model including doctors the equilibrium of medical input elements under the post-payment system and the pre-payment system was solved and compared,and the information of 124577 insured inpatients in the medical in-surance bureau was used for empirical test.The test concluded that after the payment mode of medical insurance was changed from the post-payment system to the pre-payment system,the total hospitalization cost of patients de-creased by 10.17%,the out-of-pocket amount of patients decreased by 27.67%,and the number of days in hospital decreased by 36.82%.In a certain sense,providers under the post-payment system tend to provide excessive medi-cal services,resulting in waste of medical resources,while the pre-payment system reform provides a path to make the quantity of medical services return to the optimal level of society,namely,the pre-payment system reform signif-icantly reduces the total hospitalization cost of patients,and its acting mechanism is to form a positive incentive for medical service providers.Specifically,it changes the utility function and behavior mode of doctors by reconstruct-ing the benefit pattern between doctors and patients.Corresponding policy recommendations are put forward based on theoretical and empirical results.

Reform of medical insurance pre-payment systemMedical servicesHospitalization expenses

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中国社会科学院大学经济学院,北京 102401

医保预付制改革 医疗服务 住院费用

国家社会科学基金重大招标课题

22&ZD053

2024

经济论坛
河北省社会科学院

经济论坛

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.394
ISSN:1003-3580
年,卷(期):2024.(7)
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