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中国经济高质量发展水平:测度、时空演变与动态空间收敛性

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本文运用逐层纵横向拉开档次客观赋权法测度了基于五大发展理念构建的中国经济高质量发展指数,并探究其时空演变特征及动态空间收敛性特征。研究发现:中国经济高质量发展整体呈现向好态势,但仍然处于较低水平,五大维度中创新发展指数最小。除西部地区经济高质量发展水平差距增大外,全国整体与其他三大区域均呈现"水平上升,差距缩小"的特征,这种差异主要来源于地区间差异;各区域发展水平较高的省份始终保持领先优势,并且全国、中、东北地区均存在不同程度的两极分化现象。全国经济高质量发展同时存在显著的绝对β与条件β动态空间收敛特征;分区域研究中,东部、东北同时存在显著的绝对β与条件β动态空间收敛特征,而中部地区仅存在条件β动态空间收敛特征。本文的研究为合理缩小区域差异,助推经济高质量快速发展提供了意见参考。
The Measurement,Spatial-temporal Evolution and Dynamic Spatial Convergence of China's High-quality Economic Development Level
In this paper,we measure the high-quality development index of China's economy based on the Five Major Development Concepts by using the"Vertical and Horizontal"Scatter Degree method,and explore the characteristics of its spatial-temporal evolution and dynamic spatial convergence.Research findings:Chinas high-quality economic development shows a good trend on the whole,but it is still at a low level,the innovation development index is the smallest among the five dimensions.In addition to the increasing gap in the level of high-quality economic development in the western region,the national level and the other three regions showed the different characteristics of a"rising level,narrowing gap",with such differences mainly originating from inter-regional disparities;and provinces with higher level of re-gional development always maintain a leading advantage,and there are different degrees of polarization in the country,central and Northeast regions.The high-quality development of the national economy has ob-vious spatial convergence characteristics of absolute β and conditional β dynamic;In the region respect,there are both absolute β and conditional β dynamic spatial convergence features in eastern and northeastern regions,while only conditionalβ dynamic spatial convergence features exist in central region.The re-search of this paper provides suggestions for reducing regional differences reasonably and promoting high-quality and rapid economic development.

"Vertical and Horizontal"scatter degree methodFive major development conceptsDynamic spatial convergence

张秀、张耀峰、张志刚

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湖北经济学院统计与数学学院,武汉 430205

湖北经济学院湖北数据与分析中心,武汉 430205

逐层纵横向拉开档次法 五大发展理念 动态空间收敛

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金重大项目子课题国家社会科学基金一般项目

21&ZD15221&ZD152-119BTJ030

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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