首页|政策偏好对周边国家与华能源合作的影响研究——基于PLS-SEM模型

政策偏好对周边国家与华能源合作的影响研究——基于PLS-SEM模型

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本文划分政策制定和执行两个阶段,串联起"决策层合作政策偏好→最终合作政策偏好→能源贸易与投资合作"的逻辑链条,通过构建偏最小二乘法结构方程(PLS-SEM)模型,验证最终合作政策偏好所起到的中介效应,并分析国内和体系层面的跨层次因素在其中的调节作用。结果发现,周边国家决策层合作政策偏好与最终合作政策偏好在化石能源合作上表现得大致协同,但在新能源合作方面表现出不匹配的情况。在跨层次因素方面,地缘大国竞争、对华贸易依赖、政府治理水平、对华文化认同、社会行为体对华即时情感等因素在政策偏好影响周边国家与华能源合作的过程中起到显著调节作用。
Research of the Impact of Neighboring Countries'Policy Preferences on Their Energy Cooperation With China——Based on the PLS-SEM Model
This article constructs a logical chain of"decision makers→cooperation policy preferences→final cooperation policy preferences→energy trade and investment cooperation"from the stages of policy formulation and implementation.By utilizing the Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling(PLS-SEM)model,it analyzes the mediating effects of the final cooperation policy preferences and the moder-ating effects of cross-level factors.The cooperation policy preferences between decision makers of neigh-boring countries and the final cooperation policy preferences show a general coordination in fossil fuel ener-gy cooperation,but exhibit a mismatch in renewable energy cooperation.In terms of cross-level factors,factors such as competition among major geopolitical powers,dependence on trade with China,government governance level,cultural identification with China,and immediate emotional responses of social entities towards China play a significant moderating role in influencing policy preferences and energy cooperation between neighboring countries and China.

Energy cooperationPolicy preferencesPolicy formulationPolicy implementationPLS-SEM model

杨子杰、黄栋

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华中科技大学公共管理学院,武汉 430074

能源合作 政策偏好 政策制定 政策执行 PLS-SEM模型

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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