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区域科技创新驱动经济高质量增长的时空效应研究

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本文以合成指数法计算得到八大综合经济区科技创新指数与经济高质量增长指数,并以此为基础,通过构建驱动作用动态面板模型和半参数空间动态模型,分析各经济区科技创新对经济高质量增长驱动作用演化过程在时间和空间上的异质性与溢出效应。研究发现:八大综合经济区科技创新驱动经济高质量增长存在不同的滞后期,且具有差异化的时序效应与经济高质量增长的惯性作用;八大综合经济区科技创新驱动经济高质量增长的空间效应表现出不同形状的波动变化态势,经济高质量增长自身惯性的空间驱动效应显著;经济区科技创新对经济高质量增长的偏导数曲线形态不尽相同,但科技创新的空间驱动效应主要为由初始协同阶段向嵌入期迈进和嵌入融合期两种类型。研究价值:不同经济区科技创新对经济高质量增长的驱动作用展现出不同的演化形态,在提升区域科技创新驱动作用时应因地制宜,精准施策,为有效促进经济区内经济增长质量的提升与经济区间经济高质量增长的协同发展提供政策依据。
Spatio-temporal Effect of Regional Scientific and Technological Innovation-driven High-quality Economic Growth
This research utilizes the synthetic index method to calculate the economic development status of S&T innovation and high-quality economic growth in the eight comprehensive economic zones.Based on this,the research constructs the dynamic panel data model and the semi-parametric dynamic spatial model,analyzes the heterogeneity and spillover effects of the evolution of the role of S&T innovation in driving high-quality economic growth in time and space in each economic zone.The results show that:There are different lag periods of S&T innovation-driven high-quality economic growth in the eight compre-hensive economic zones,and there are differentiated time series effects and inertial effects of high-quality economic growth.The spatial effect of S&T innovation driving high-quality economic growth in the eight comprehensive economic zones shows different shapes of fluctuations,and the spatial driving effect of its own inertia of high-quality economic growth is significant.The partial derivative curve of technological in-novation in economic zones on high-quality economic growth is not the same,but the spatial driving effect of technological innovation in the eight comprehensive economic zones is mainly in two types:From the ini-tial coordination stage to the embedding stage,and the embedding and integration stage.Research value:The driving effect of S&T innovation on high-quality economic growth in different economic zones shows different evolution patterns,and the driving role of regional science and technology innovation should be customized and precisely applied in order to provide a policy basis for the effective promotion of the im-provement of the quality of economic growth within economic zones and the synergistic development of high-quality economic growth among economic zones.

Eight comprehensive economic zonesS&T innovation drivenHigh-quality economic growthTime and space effect

许红丹、刘云、杨武

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中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院,北京 100190

北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京 100083

清华大学中国企业成长与经济安全研究中心,北京 100084

八大综合经济区 科技创新驱动 经济高质量增长 时空效应

国家自然科学基金重大项目国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金面上项目

71810107004L222400872074019

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(6)