Dynamic Analysis of the Relationship Between Yunnan's Industrial Structure and Energy Consumption Driven by New Quality Productive Forces——Empirical Research Based on VAR Model
With the continuous emergence of new quality productive forces,the industrial structure and energy consumption relationship in Yunnan Province are facing new changes and adjustments.Based on the perspective of new quality productive forces,this study collects and analyzes the relevant data of in-dustrial structure and energy consumption in Yunnan Province,and empirically studies the relationship be-tween industrial structure and energy consumption structure in Yunnan Province by using the vector autore-gressive(VAR)model.The results show that:(1)From 2000 to 2022,Yunnan's economic growth is converted from being jointly driven by the secondary and tertiary industries to being mainly driven by the tertiary industry.Since 2010,the gap between the proportion of output value of the secondary industry and tertiary industry has gradually widened.(2)The energy consumption in Yunnan province show an in-creasing trend year by year,mainly through clean electricity such as hydroelectricity to meet the needs of various industries.(3)There is a long-term stable relationship between industrial structure and energy consumption structure in Yunnan province,and the changes in energy consumption structure will affect the industrial structure with a lag,while the contribution of industrial structure upgrading to energy consump-tion structure is less than that of energy consumption structure to industrial structure upgrading.Therefore,driven by new quality productive forces,Yunnan should make full use of the advantages of natural re-sources of water,wind and light,optimize the layout of industrial development,build a modern industrial system,promote the adjustment of industrial structure and the optimization of energy consumption,and achieve the coordinated development of economy,society and environment through energy conservation and emission reduction of the whole society.
New quality productive forcesIndustrial structureEnergy consumptionVAR
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