首页|数字经济发展对城市碳排放的影响——基于国家大数据综合试验区的准实验

数字经济发展对城市碳排放的影响——基于国家大数据综合试验区的准实验

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数字经济作为具有强劲增长动力的新型经济形态,厘清其对碳排放的影响机制是实现中国绿色转型和经济高质量发展的关键。本文以国家大数据综合试验区的设立表征数字经济的发展,基于2011-2019年286个地级市数据,构建交错双重差分模型和考虑空间溢出效应的修正两阶段双重差分模型,探究数字经济发展对城市碳排放的直接效应和其对于其他城市碳排放的溢出效应。研究结论表明,数字经济发展会降低城市的碳排放总量和电能消耗产生的碳排放,对其他方式产生的碳排放无显著影响,且工业用电碳排放的减少是碳排放水平降低的直接原因;数字经济发展会对周围城市产生碳减排的溢出效应,该效应会随着地理距离的增加而递减;异质性分析表明,数字经济发展在不同试验区类型、不同创新环境和经济水平下的降碳效果存在差异;机制分析表明,数字经济发展通过促进消费业态和模式创新、推动产业数字化转型降低城市碳排放水平。
The Impact of Digital Economy Development on Carbon Emissions——A Quasi-natural Experiment from the National Big Data Comprehensive Pilot Area
The digital economy is a new economic form with strong growth momentum,and clarifying its impact mechanism on carbon emissions is the key to achieving China's green transformation and high-quality economic development.Based on the data of 286 prefecture-level cities from 2011 to 2019,this paper builds a staggered difference-in-difference model and a modified two-stage difference-in-difference model considering spatial spillover effect to explore the direct effects of digital economy development on ur-ban carbon emissions and its spillover effects on carbon emissions of other cities.The results show that the development of a digital economy can reduce the total carbon emission of cities and the carbon emission generated by electricity consumption,but has no significant impact on the carbon emission generated by other ways,and the reduction of industrial electricity carbon emission is the direct reason for the reduction of carbon emission level.The development of the digital economy will have a spillover effect of carbon emission reduction on surrounding cities,which will decrease with the increase of geographical distance.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the carbon reduction effect of digital economy development is different un-der different types of Pilot areas,different innovation environments,and economic levels.Mechanism a-nalysis shows that the development of a digital economy reduces the level of urban carbon emissions by pro-moting the innovation of consumption formats and models and promoting the digital transformation of indus-tries.

Carbon emissionsDigital economyThe national big data comprehensive pilot areaIndustrial digitization

张自然、何竞

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中国社会科学院经济研究所,北京 102401

中国社会科学院大学经济学院,北京 102401

碳排放 数字经济 国家级大数据综合试验区 交错双重差分模型

国家社会科学基金重大招标项目

22&ZD053

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(6)