首页|"一带一路"建设与沿线国家经济的包容性增长——基于社会流动性指数的研究

"一带一路"建设与沿线国家经济的包容性增长——基于社会流动性指数的研究

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"一带一路"倡议已然历经十年征程,在推动全球共同发展方面取得了不菲的成效,本文基于2005-2021年跨国面板数据,构建了一个基于社会流动性指数的包容性增长指标,以探讨"一带一路"建设对沿线国家经济包容性增长的影响。研究发现:"一带一路"倡议能够显著驱动沿线国家经济包容性增长,且这种影响具有长期效应;"一带一路"倡议的包容性增长效应在处于陆上丝绸之路、经济发展水平较低、内部治理水平较高、对华情感水平较高的参与国中更加突出;"一带一路"建设能够通过基建改善、贸易惠及、政策合作、文化包容、绿色共享五大机制来推动沿线国家经济的包容性增长。本文结果表明:"一带一路"建设已成为中国对包容性增长理念的重要实践,有效弥合了沿线国家的发展鸿沟并助力世界减贫,引领推动包容性全球化新时代的到来。
Construction of the Belt and Road and Inclusive Economic Growth in Countries Along the Route——A Study Based on the Social Mobility Index
The Belt and Road Initiative has gone through a decade of journey,and has made great achievements in promoting global common development.Based on the transnational panel data from 2005 to 2021,this paper constructs an inclusive growth indicator based on the social mobility index,and dis-cusses the impact of the Belt and Road on the inclusive growth of the economies of countries along the Belt and Road.The research finds that the Belt and Road Initiative can significantly drive the inclusive eco-nomic growth of countries along the Belt and Road,and this impact has long-term effects.The inclusive growth effect of the Belt and Road Initiative is more prominent among the participating countries that are on the Silk Road,with low economic development level,high internal governance level,and high level of emotion towards China.The construction of the Belt and Road can promote inclusive economic growth of countries along the route through five mechanisms:infrastructure improvement,trade benefits,policy co-operation,cultural inclusion,and green sharing.The results of this paper show that the construction of the Belt and Road has become an important practice of China's concept of inclusive growth,effectively bridging the development gap of countries along the line,helping the world reduce poverty,and leading to the arrival of a new era of inclusive globalization.

Belt and Road InitiativeInclusive growthSocial mobility functionDifference-in-differences with multiple time periods

张誉夫、谢建国

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南京大学商学院,南京 210093

"一带一路"倡议 包容性增长 社会流动性函数 多期双重差分

国家自然科学基金项目教育部人文社会科学基金项目

7207306220YJA790074

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(7)