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中国制造业高质量发展测度及时空演化——基于"三化"视角

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制造业高质量发展是我国经济高质量发展的重中之重。从"高端化、智能化、绿色化"的"三化"视角构建我国制造业高质量发展测度指标体系,使用CRITIC-熵权法对全国30个省(区、市)2011-2019年制造业高质量发展进行测度,使用障碍因子诊断模型识别制约制造业高质量发展的因素,采用Dagum基尼系数进行地区差异性比较,运用Kernel密度揭示分布动态及其演进特征。结果显示:(1)中国制造业高质量发展水平总体提升,各维度的增长趋势并不一致;(2)中国区域制造业高质量发展呈现出按东部-中部-西部阶梯分布的特征,各区域的绿色化发展均表现突出;中国区域制造业高质量发展总体差异逐步扩大,主要归因于地区间存在的差异;(3)全国及三大地区制造业高质量发展都呈现出绝对差异扩大的趋势;各省份制造业高质量发展的首要障碍因子是高技术产品出口技术复杂度。本文为把握我国制造业高质量发展的态势和地区差异、制定相关政策提供了启示。
Measurement and Spatial-temporal Evolution of China's High-quality Manufacturing Industry Development:Based on the Perspectives of Premiumization,Intellectualization and Greenization
The high-quality development of manufacturing industry has played a vital role in China's high-quality economic development.This paper establishes an index system for the high-quality manufac-turing industry development from the perspectives of premiumization,intellectualization,and greenization.Using entropy weight and CRITIC methods,obstacle diagnosis model,Dagum's Gini coefficient,and ker-nel density estimation,this paper has analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution of manufacturing high-quality development and restrictive factors of 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government)in China from 2011-2019.The results show that:(1)The overall level of Chi-na's high-quality manufacturing industry has increased with inconsistent growth trends across all dimen-sions.(2)The development of China's manufacturing industry is not balanced,which has the character-istics of a ladder distribution of"East-Central-West",while the greenization is outstanding.The region-al differences in the development of China's high-quality manufacturing industry are gradually expanding,which is mainly attributed to the differences between regions.(3)The absolute differences between China's high-quality manufacturing industry development nationwide and the three main regions are increasing.The primary obstacle factor for the high-quality manufacturing industry development in each province is the technological complexity of the export of high-tech products.This paper provides useful insights into un-derstanding the situation of China's manufacturing industry development and formulating targeted policies and measures for promoting the development of the manufacturing industry.

Manufacturing industryHigh-quality developmentLevel measurementSpatio-tem-poral evolutionObstacle factors

刘珊珊、卜伟、李晨曦

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北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京 100044

制造业 高质量发展 水平测度 时空演化 障碍因子

北京市社会科学基金项目

21JCB052

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(9)
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