首页|数字经济与实体经济融合对碳排放强度的影响:理论模型与经验证据

数字经济与实体经济融合对碳排放强度的影响:理论模型与经验证据

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数字经济与实体经济的融合将推动技术革新和产业结构升级,成为助力低碳发展目标的新动力。通过构建一个理论模型,将数实融合对碳排放强度的影响分解为技术效应和结构效应。本文基于2011-2021年中国286个城市的面板数据,利用熵值法度量数字经济和实体经济的综合发展水平,再利用耦合评价模型量化数实融合程度,并构建双向固定效应模型探究数实融合对碳排放强度的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:数实融合显著降低了碳排放强度,该结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。机制分析表明,数实融合推动了绿色技术在内的技术创新,促进了产业结构升级,从而降低了碳排放强度。此外,环境规制强度大的城市和资源型城市能够从数实融合中获得更大的碳减排效益。研究结论为中国推进数实融合、探索现代化低碳转型新路径提供了经验事实与政策参考。
The Impact of the Integration of the Digital Economy and Real Economy on Carbon Emission Intensity:Theoretical Models and Empirical Evidence
The integration of the digital economy and the real economy drives technological innovation and Industrial structural upgrading,becoming a new driving force to support low-carbon development goals.By constructing a theoretical model,this research decomposes the effects of integrating the digital economy and the real economy on carbon emission intensity into technological effects and structural effects.Using panel data from 286 cities in China from 2011 to 2021,this research uses the entropy method to measure the comprehensive development of the digital economy and real economy,uses a coupling evalua-tion model to quantify the degree of digital-real economy integration,and then examines the impact of this integration on carbon emission intensity and its underlying mechanisms by employing a two-way fixed effects model.The results show that the integration of the digital economy and the real economy significant-ly reduces carbon emission intensity,and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness checks.Mechanism analysis reveals that this integration stimulates technological innovation,including green tech-nologies,and improves the upgrading of industrial structure,thereby reducing carbon emission intensity.Additionally,cities with stronger environmental regulations and resource-based cities can obtain greater carbon emission reduction benefits from the integration.These findings provide empirical facts and policy guidance to promote digital-real economy integration and explore new paths for modern low-carbon trans-formation.

Digital-real ecomony integrationCarbon emission intensityTechnological innovationIndustrial structureCoupling evaluation model

曹增栋、岳中刚

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北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院,北京 100875

南京邮电大学经济学院,南京 210023

数实融合 碳排放强度 技术创新 产业结构 耦合评价模型

2024

经济问题探索
云南省发展和改革委员会

经济问题探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.076
ISSN:1006-2912
年,卷(期):2024.(12)