The"Temperature Difference"Between Macro Data and Micro Perception:Phenomena,Causes and Responses
In this paper,the phenomenon,causes and countermeasures of the"temperature difference"between macro data and micro feelings are explored in depth from the perspective of national economic accounting.Typical phenomena of incon-sistency between macro and micro include the asynchrony between the medium and high speed growth of macro economy and the general decline in profitability of micro enterprises,the significant difference between the steady growth of disposable income of the residents and the low sense of actual gain,and the obvious deviation between the steady improvement of the overall employ-ment situation and the severe employment situation of the young people.The deep-seated reasons behind the formation of the"temperature gap"lie in the summing-up bias of the national economic accounting method,the"illusion"of individual feelings and information bias in the understanding of macro-data,the unequal distribution of income,and the damage to residents'bal-ance sheets.This paper puts forward countermeasures to bridge the"temperature gap"from four aspects:strengthening the inte-gration of macro and micro accounting data,improving data collection and statistical methods,boosting the expectations and con-fidence of micro subjects,and optimizing the structure of income distribution.
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