Proximity,Technological Connectivity,and the Path Evolution of Industrial Structure in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomerations
Evolutionary economic geography holds that the development of a country or region is constrained by its prior factors,resul-ting in path-dependence effects.This article is based on the theory and methods of product space,using manufacturing enterprise data from the China Industrial Enterprise Database from 2003 to 2015,to study the industrial technology correlation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomerations,to determine whether its development is limited and affected by its original industries,and whether there is a breakthrough path for development.The results showed that:(1)From 2003 to 2015,the changes in the technological correlation between the transformed industries in the region were mostly positive,indicating a high degree of technological correlation between these transformed industries and their original industries,reflecting the path dependence effect of the economic structure evolution of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomerations;(2)Empirical evidence shows that the overall development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomerations was positively influenced by technological linkages during the two periods of 2003-2008 and 2009-2015,with inheritance and inertia,reflecting path dependence characteristics.However,there is also a certain heterogeneity within each stage of the region.While most cities'industrial structure evolution follows the path dependence law,there are also a few cities that have experienced path breakthroughs due to policy and other factors.(3)The statistical analysis for 2015-2022 further confirms the assertion that the evolution of industry structure in various cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is influenced and constrained by existing advantages and path dependence.The above findings have certain decision-making implications for the future economic struc-tural transformation and evolution path selection of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomerations.
万方数据
维普
