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新发展格局下我国产业新旧动能转换方向与对策

Directions and Countermeasures of the Transformation of New and Old Momentum of China's Industries under the New Development Pattern

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新世纪以来,我国产业新旧动能转换主要经历了三个阶段:从加入世界贸易组织至国际金融危机发生前,外需动能强劲,轻工业带动重工业发展;从国际金融危机爆发至中美贸易摩擦发生前,城镇化驱动内需动能,重化工业加快发展;中美贸易摩擦发生以来,替代需求引致高技术制造业发展动能,服务业稳定成为第一大产业.在新发展格局下,我国产业新动能培育仍有较大空间:需求结构升级催生服务业发展新动能,新技术新产业培育发展形成新动能,国内四大替代需求释放孕育新动能,新兴经济体快速发展带动我国出口新动能,释放中小民营企业活力激发新动能.必须瞄准这五大方向,采取有针对性的改革措施,释放产业发展新动能,促进产业新旧动能转换.
Since the beginning of the 21st century,the transformation of new and old momentum of China's industries has experienced three stages.First,from joining the World Trade Organization to the international fi-nancial crisis,the overseas market demand was the strong momentum,and light industry drove the develop-ment of heavy industry.Second,from the international financial crisis to the Sino-US trade friction,urbaniza-tion drove domestic demand and accelerated the development of the heavy chemical industry.Third,since the Sino-US trade friction,the demand for domestic substitution has led to the development of the high-tech manufacturing industry,and the service industry has become the largest industry and remained stable.Under the new development pattern,there is still much room in fostering new momentum for China's industries.Spe-cifically,upgrading of the demand structure gives rise to new momentum for the service industry;the develop-ment of new technologies and industries forms new momentum;the release of four major demands for domestic substitution fosters new momentum;the rapid development of emerging economies drives China's exports;and the release of vitality from small and medium-sized private enterprises stimulates new momentum.Targeting the five directions,precise reform measures should be taken to unleash new momentum for industrial develop-ment and promote the transformation of new and old momentum for China's industries.

Transformation of New and Old MomentumNew Development PatternIndustrializationIndus-try

任继球

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中国宏观经济研究院产业经济与技术经济研究所,北京 100038

新旧动能转换 新发展格局 工业化 产业

2024

经济纵横
吉林省社会科学院

经济纵横

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.616
ISSN:1007-7685
年,卷(期):2024.(11)