金融发展评论2024,Issue(5) :1-14.

双循环对经济高质量发展的影响研究——来自丝绸之路经济带核心区的经验证据

Research on the Impact of Dual Circulation on High-quality Economic Development:Empirical Evidence from Cities in the Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt

朱汉年 夏冰倩 左喜梅
金融发展评论2024,Issue(5) :1-14.

双循环对经济高质量发展的影响研究——来自丝绸之路经济带核心区的经验证据

Research on the Impact of Dual Circulation on High-quality Economic Development:Empirical Evidence from Cities in the Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt

朱汉年 1夏冰倩 1左喜梅1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆财经大学金融学院、新疆财政与金融协同创新研究中心
  • 折叠

摘要

新疆作为丝绸之路经济带核心区,既具有内联西北五省,外接欧亚八国的区位优势,又拥有国际国内两个市场、两种资源.如何充分发挥双循环对丝绸之路经济带核心区经济高质量发展的促进作用,是如今迫切需要解决的现实问题.本文基于2013-2022年丝绸之路经济带核心区14个地级市的面板数据,研究发现:核心区经济高质量发展水平不断提高,呈现波动增长趋势;双循环可以显著推动经济高质量发展水平提升;异质性分析表明,内循环对经济高质量发展的促进作用效果表现为"北疆>南疆",外循环和双循环表现为"北疆显著、南疆不显著";机制分析表明,内循环可以通过促进外循环的发展,间接推动经济高质量发展提升;外循环也可以通过促进内循环的发展,从而间接推动经济高质量发展提升.本文研究为增强内循环和外循环的联动性,畅通"双循环——经济高质量发展"路径提供理论依据,为自治区政府精准施策提供依据.

Abstract

As the core area of the Silk Road Economic Belt,Xinjiang not only has the geographical advantage of connecting the five provinces in Northwest China and eight countries in Europe and Asia,but also has two international and domestic markets and two kinds of resources.How to give full play to the role of the double cycle in promoting high-quality economic development in the core area of the Silk Road Economic Belt is an urgent practical problem that needs to be solved today.Based on the panel data of 14 prefecture-level cities in the core area of the Silk Road Economic Belt from 2013 to 2022,this paper finds that:the high-quality economic development level of the core area continues to improve,showing a fluctuating growth trend;The double cycle can significantly promote the level of high-quality economic development;Heterogeneity analysis shows that the effect of inner cycle on high-quality economic development was"North Xinjiang>South Xinjiang",while the effect of outer cycle and double cycle is"North Xinjiang is significant,south Xinjiang is not significant".Mechanism analysis shows that internal circulation can indirectly promote the development of high-quality economic development by promoting the development of external circulation;The external cycle can also promote the development of the internal cycle,thereby indirectly promoting the improvement of high-quality economic development.This study provides a theoretical basis for enhancing the linkage between internal and external circulation,unblocking the path of"double circulation-high-quality economic development",and provides a basis for the autonomous region government to implement accurate policies.

关键词

双循环/经济高质量发展/丝绸之路经济带核心区

Key words

Double Circulation/High Quality Economic Development/The Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
金融发展评论
中国人民银行乌鲁木齐中心支行,中国金融学会,新疆金融学会

金融发展评论

ISSN:
段落导航相关论文