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战略激进度与上市公司债券违约风险及其影响机制

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近年来,债券市场违约呈现分布广、金额高、影响大等特征,引起各界人士的广泛关注.本文以2014-2023年发债上市公司为研究样本,实证检验了战略激进度对上市公司债券违约风险的影响.研究发现,战略激进度与债券违约风险存在显著的正相关关系,战略越激进,债券违约风险越高.机制研究发现,战略激进度通过降低企业经营性现金创造能力、加重非效率投资和加大融资约束,加剧了债券违约风险.进一步研究发现,资管新规的实施,显著加大了战略激进度对债券违约风险的影响.本文的研究促进了公司战略领域与财务领域的结合研究,丰富了债券违约的影响因素以及战略激进经济后果的相关文献,有助于深刻认识战略激进可能传导的风险,为企业全面评估风险和合理制定战略、为监管部门及时监控并合理引导企业降低违约风险,提供了理论支持和经验证据.
In recent years,bond market defaults have shown characteristics such as wide distribution,high amount,and significant impact,which have attracted widespread attention.This paper uses listed companies that issued bonds from 2014 to 2023 as research samples to empirically test the impact of strategic aggressiveness on the bond default risk of listed companies.Research has found a significant positive correlation between strategic aggressiveness and bond default risk,with the more aggressive the strategy,the higher the bond default risk.Mechanism research has found that strategic aggressiveness exacerbates bond default risk by reducing a company's ability to generate operating cash,increasing inefficient investment,and increasing financing constraints.Further research has found that the implementation of New Regulations on Asset Management has significantly increased the impact of strategic aggressiveness on bond default risk.This study promotes the integration of corporate strategy and finance,enriches the relevant literature on the influencing factors of bond default risk and the economic consequences of strategic aggressiveness,and helps to gain a deeper understanding of the risks that strategic aggressiveness may transmit.It provides theoretical support and empirical evidence for enterprises to comprehensively assess risks and formulate reasonable strategies,and for regulatory authorities to monitor and guide enterprises in reducing default risks in a timely manner.

Strategic AggressivenessBond Default RiskCash Creation AbilityInefficient InvestmentFinancing Constraints

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中国财政科学研究院

战略激进度 债券违约风险 现金创造 非效率投资 融资约束

2024

金融监管研究

金融监管研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.213
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.(12)