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基于网格划分的常发性拥堵区域识别及演化模式分析

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为准确识别常发性拥堵区域,分析其拥堵传播方向,疏通拥堵源头和阻断拥堵传播路径,提出一种基于网格模型和Fuzzy Core DBSCAN算法的常发性拥堵区域识别及演化模式分析方法。首先,对城市路网进行网格化处理,结合出租车GPS数据综合分析网格内车辆轨迹数量和轨迹加权平均速度,构建网格内部交通拥堵状态判别模型。然后,利用结合模糊集合论与DBSCAN算法扩展得到的Fuzzy Core DBSCAN算法识别常发性拥堵区域,选取拥堵规模、拥堵传播方向(即两个相邻网格之间的传播次数和传播概率)和关键网格3个指标来分析常发性拥堵的演化模式。最后,以黑龙江省哈尔滨市二环路范围内网格区域为例进行实证分析,结果表明:所识别出的常发性拥堵区域关键网格G(14,13)一周内拥堵传播到相邻网格共85次,其中27次(以31。8%的概率)沿西大直街向北传播至网格G(15,14);与百度地图开放平台数据相比,基于网格模型的拥堵判别结果准确率达85%;基于Fuzzy Core DBSCAN算法识别分析出的常发性拥堵区域拥堵演化模式与百度地图开放平台路况时变过程吻合。这表明融合Fuzzy Core DBSCAN算法与网格模型可有效识别常发性拥堵区域中关键网格的拥堵传播方向,能为制定科学合理的缓堵方案提供支撑。
Identification and Evolutionary Pattern of Recurrent Congestion Area Based on Grid Division
In order to accurately identify the recurrent congestion areas,analyze their congestion propaga-tion directions,solve the congestion source and block the congestion propagation path,a method for identi-fying and analyzing the evolutionary pattern of recurrent congestion areas based on grid model and Fuzzy Core DBSCAN algorithm was proposed.Firstly,the urban road network was gridded and the number and weighted average speed of vehicle trajectories within grids were comprehensively analyzed com-bining taxi GPS data.A traffic congestion discrimination model was constructed to determine the con-gestion status within the grid.Then,the Fuzzy Core DBSCAN algorithm extended by combining fuzzy set theory and DBSCAN algorithm was used to identify the recurrent congestion areas.Three indica-tors,namely congestion scale,congestion propagation direction(i.e.the number and probability of propagation between two adjacent grids),and key grids,were selected to analyze the evolution pattern of recurrent congestion.Finally,an empirical analysis was carried out by taking the grid area within the second ring road of Harbin City,Heilongjiang Province as an example.The results showed that the congestion of the identified key grid G(14,13)in the recurrent congestion area was transmitted to the adjacent grids 85 times in a week,of which 27 times,or with 31.8%probability,spread northward along Xidazhi Street to grid G(15,14).Compared with the data of Baidu Map Open Platform,the accu-racy of congestion discrimination results based on grid model was 85%,and the identification and anal-ysis of congestion evolution patterns in recurrent congestion areas based on the Fuzzy Core DBSCAN algorithm was consistent with the time-varying process of traffic conditions on the Baidu Map Open Platform.It means that the fusion of Fuzzy Core DBSCAN algorithm and grid model can effectively identify the congestion propagation direction of key grids in recurrent congestion areas,which can pro-vide support for the formulation of scientific and reasonable congestion mitigation schemes.

urban trafficrecurrent congestiongrid modelFuzzy Core DBSCANtaxi GPS data

裴玉龙、李梦如

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东北林业大学 土木与交通学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150040

城市交通 常发性拥堵 网格模型 Fuzzy Core DBSCAN算法 出租车GPS数据

国家自然科学基金面上项目

51278158

2024

交通运输研究
交通运输部科学研究院

交通运输研究

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.941
ISSN:1002-4786
年,卷(期):2024.10(2)