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米字形高铁网对区域社会经济高质量发展的影响

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以全国首个米字形高铁网为研究对象,从空间格局、经济发展、社会发展及生态环境这4个维度分析其对区域高质量发展的影响;构建影响评价模型,建立多维度指标评价体系,并对影响效果进行量化分析.结果表明:米字形高铁网建成开通,使河南省际和省内加权平均旅行时间大幅缩短至4.90 h和1.62 h,改善幅度达到65.6%和37.8%;区域联系强度显著增强,逐步形成以省内联系为主,向东北及东南方向稳步拓展的"中心-外围"式发展结构;郑州高铁枢纽首位度由1.90稳步升至2.83,核心枢纽地位进一步巩固;采用双重差分模型验证了米字形高铁网对河南省各地市社会固定资产投资、外资利用规模、人均GDP、城镇化率及就业升级指数等经济和社会发展指标均具有正向促进作用;铁路客运综合能耗优化量和综合营运减排量稳步提升,工业废气SO2排放量降低,生态环境效果显著.
Impact of "Star-Type" High-speed Railway Network on High-quality Development of Regional Social Economy
This paper focuses on the first"Star-type"high-speed railway network in China and analyzes its impact on regional high-quality development from four dimensions:spatial pattern,economic development,social development and ecological environment.The study constructs a comprehensive impact evaluation model and establishes a multidimensional indicator system to evaluate the effects.It culminates in a detailed quantitative analysis of the outcomes to provide a nuanced understanding of the impacts.The result indicates that the opening of the"Star-type"high-speed railway network has significantly reduced the weighted average travel time between and within Henan province to 4.90 hours and 1.62 hours,with improvements rate of 65.6%and 37.8%.The intensity of regional connections has been significantly enhanced,gradually forming a"center-periphery"development structure which focuses on intra-provincial connections and steadily expands to the energy consumption optimization and comprehensive operational emission reduction of railway northeast and southeast.The primacy index of Zhengzhou high-speed railway hub has increased from 1.90 to 2.83,further consolidated its position as a core hub.The difference-in-differences model is used to verify that the"Star-type"high-speed railway network has a positive promotion on economic and social development indicators of Henan,such as social fixed assets investment,foreign capital utilization,per capita Gross Domestic Product(GDP),urbanization rate,employment upgrading index,etc.The amount of optimized comprehensive energy consumption and comprehensive operational emission reduction in railway passenger transport has steadily increased,and industrial SO2 emissions reduced,with significant ecological environment effects.

transportation economyhigh-quality developmentdifference-in-differences model"star-type"high-speed railway networkregional economy

悦国勇、胡昊

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上海交通大学,船舶海洋与建筑工程学院,上海 200240

交通运输经济 高质量发展 双重差分模型 米字形高铁网 区域经济

河南省哲学社会科学规划项目

2022DWT014

2024

交通运输系统工程与信息
中国系统工程学会

交通运输系统工程与信息

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.664
ISSN:1009-6744
年,卷(期):2024.24(5)
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