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基于扩展决策场的机场落客区车辆-旅客行为建模分析

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近年来,随着航空旅客运输的发展,机场陆侧交通资源愈发紧张.机场落客区作为衔接机场航站楼内部与外部交通之间的交互面,行人和车辆交互冲突严重,落客区运行压力大.本文以某国内机场为研究对象,基于实地调查的视频数据,建立基于Logistic回归模型的车辆让行模型;发布调查问卷,从效率、安全和舒适这3种属性收集该机场落客区场景下旅客做出的选择,最终建立落客区环境下的人车冲突仿真模型,利用仿真模型探究落客区内人车冲突情景.仿真结果表明:在多幅路结构的落客区内,旅客乱穿马路的选择与交通密度和过街次数有关,交通密度越大,旅客需要过街的次数越多,旅客乱穿马路的频率越低,在中幅路落客的旅客最高违规过街率为6.8%,在外幅路落客的旅客最高违规过街率为2.1%;当人行道和入站口相互间距扩大1倍,外幅路落客的旅客平均违规过街率提升1.6%,中幅路落客的旅客平均违规过街率提升0.9%;此外,通过限制旅客乱穿马路,可以有效减少非高峰时期车辆让行次数,提升落客区车辆通行效率.
Modeling and Analysis of Vehicle-passenger Behavior in Airport Drop-off Areas Based on Extended Decision Fields Theory
In recent years,the rapid growth of air passenger transportation has progressively constrained landside traffic resources at airports.As a crucial interface between internal and external airport traffic,the passenger drop-off areas experiences significant conflicts between pedestrians and vehicles,leading to inefficiencies in traffic operations.This study focuses on a domestic airport,utilizing field investigation video data to develop a vehicle yield model based on Logistic regression.In addition,a survey was conducted to gather passengers'preferences in the drop-off area,focusing on three attributes:efficiency,safety,and comfort.These data were then used to develop a simulation model of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts in the drop-off environment.The simulation model was employed to investigate various conflict scenarios within the drop-off area.The simulation results reveal that in drop-off areas with multiple road structures,the likelihood of jaywalking is influenced by traffic density and the frequency of required crossings.Higher traffic density and more frequent crossings result in a lower rate of jaywalking.The highest rate of jaywalking recorded for passengers in the middle lane was 6.8%,compared to a rate of 2.1%for passengers in the outer lane.When the distance between the sidewalk and entrance is doubled,the average jaywalking rate of passengers dropped off in the outer lane increases by 1.6%,while the average jaywalking rate of passengers dropped off in the middle lane increases by 0.9%.Furthermore,restricting passenger jaywalking effectively reduces the number of vehicle concessions during off-peak periods,thereby improving traffic efficiency in the drop-off areas.

traffic engineeringpassenger drop-off areaextended decision field theoryvehicle-passenger behavior,Logistic regression model

唐铁桥、钟静燃、袁小婷、覃梦欣

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北京航空航天大学,交通科学与工程学院,北京 100191

杭州市北京航空航天大学国际创新研究院,杭州 311115

交通工程 落客区 扩展决策场 车辆—旅客行为 Logistic回归模型

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

7223100172171006

2024

交通运输系统工程与信息
中国系统工程学会

交通运输系统工程与信息

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.664
ISSN:1009-6744
年,卷(期):2024.24(5)
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