首页|1985-2006年中国中东部总云量变化趋势分析

1985-2006年中国中东部总云量变化趋势分析

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基于地面观测资料,应用EOF分解、曲线拟合、Mann-Kendall突变检验、小波分析等方法,分析了中国中东部地区总云量的变化趋势和周期。结果表明,中国中东部地区总云量从西南到东北逐渐减少,但年平均总云量标准差呈东北—西南向的带状分布,与中国雨带的分布形势相似。1985年以来中国中东部各地区年平均总云量一致减少,华北地区减少最快,四川盆地减少较慢,华北地区和四川盆地总云量在1990年前后由平稳变化开始加速减少,中东部不同地区总云量变化的周期不同。
The Trend of Total Cloud Amount over Middle and East of China during 1985-2006
Based on the surface observation data, the trend, mutation and cycle of total cloud amount over middle and east of China were analyzed by using EOF decomposition, Curve fitting, Mann-Kendall Mutagenicity test and Wavelet analysis methods. Total cloud amount gradually decreases from the southwest to the northeast of China. However, the spatial distribution of the standard deviation of annual total cloud are different. It presents zonal distribution from northeast to southwest and is similar to the distribution of the rain belt. Annual average of total cloud amount consistently reduces since 1985, and the downward trend is faster in northern China and is relatively slower in Sichuan Basin. The total cloud amounts of northern China and Sichuan Basin are accelerated reduced from 1990. Cycles of total cloud are different from area to area in middle and east of China.

total cloud amounttrendmutationcycle

孙国荣、方乐锌、李昀英、高翠翠、寇雄伟

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解放军理工大学 气象海洋学院,江苏 南京 211101

解放军96211部队 84分队,云南 红河 654300

总云量 变化趋势 突变 周期

财政部/科技部公益类行业专项国家自然科学基金国家留学基金

20130606841475069

2015

气象与减灾研究
江西省气象学会

气象与减灾研究

影响因子:0.881
ISSN:1007-9033
年,卷(期):2015.(3)
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