首页|1961-2020年河南省夏季极端降水异常分布特征及其与大气环流和海温的关系

1961-2020年河南省夏季极端降水异常分布特征及其与大气环流和海温的关系

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利用河南省125个气象台站逐日降水量资料和ERA5再分析资料以及HadISST海表温度资料,分析了 1961-2020年河南省夏季极端降水的气候特征和主模态,及其与大气环流和海温的关系.结果表明:河南省极端降水的气候态频次和强度均呈由西北向东南递增的分布,东南部地区极端降水最多,东部和北部地区次之,西部山脉地区最少.标准差分布与气候态类似,降水较多的区域也具有较大的年际差异.河南省夏季极端降水年际变化显著,但线性趋势较弱.河南省夏季极端降水EOF第1模态呈全省一致偏多的空间分布特征,欧亚型遥相关模态有利于高纬度冷空气南下,副热带高压西伸偏北有利于充沛的水汽向河南地区输送,同期海温场呈现出显著的黑潮延伸体正异常海温、La niña模态、南印度洋海温偶极子负位相和北大西洋海温三极子正位相模态,反之亦然;第2模态为河南省北部地区偏多和南部地区偏少的反位相分布特征,乌拉尔山地区的阻塞高压和东西伯利亚地区的长波槽有利于高纬冷空气南下,副热带高压西伸偏北有利于水汽向河南地区输送,同期海温场呈现出典型的La Niña模态,但降水的极端性越强,海温异常信号也越复杂,反之亦然.
Spatiotemporal Characteristics of 1961-2020 Summer Extreme Precipitation Anomaly in Henan Province and Their Relationships with the Atmospheric Circulation and SST
The climatic characteristics and major modes of summer extreme precipitation in Henan Province from 1961 to 2020 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation and SST were analyzed based on the daily precipitation data of 125 meteoro-logical stations,ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data and HadISST sea surface temperature data.The climatological mean of the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation in Henan Province showed an increasing pattern from northwest to southeast,with the most extreme precipitation in the southeast,followed by the northern part of the east,and the least in the western mountain regions.The distribution of standard deviation was similar with that of the climatology,and the regions with larger mean precipitation also had larger interannual differences.Summer extreme precipitation in Henan Province presented signifi-cant interannual variation,but the linear trend was relatively weak.The first mode of EOF of summer extreme precipitation in Henan Province showed a uniform distribution overall the province,with the high-latitude Eurasian teleconnection mode condu-cive to the southward movement of high-latitude cold air,and the westward extension of the subtropical high conducive to the transport of water vapor to Henan.The simultaneous SST showed significant positive Kuroshio extension SST anomaly,La Nina pattern,the negative phase of the South Indian Ocean SST dipole and the North Atlantic SST tripole positive phase modes,and vice versa.The second mode was characterized by the inverse phase distribution with more precipitation in the northern part of Henan Province and less in the southern part of Henan Province,the blocking high over the Ural Mountains and the longwave trough in East Siberia were conducive to the southward movement of high-latitude cold air,and the westward extension of the subtropical high was conducive to the transport of water vapor to Henan.The simultaneous SST showed signif-icant La Nina pattern,but the more extreme the precipitation was,the more complex the SST anomaly signal will be,and vice versa.

summer extreme precipitationclimatic characteristicsatmospheric circulationSSTEOF mode

姚德贵、刘春、苗雨沛、刘善峰、周放、赵灿

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国网河南省电力公司电力科学研究院,河南郑州 450052

江西省气象台,江西南昌 330096

北京西太科技有限公司,北京 100089

南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,江苏南京 210044

陕西省气候中心,陕西西安 710004

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夏季极端降水 气候特征 大气环流 海表温度 EOF模态

2024

气象与减灾研究
江西省气象学会

气象与减灾研究

影响因子:0.881
ISSN:1007-9033
年,卷(期):2024.47(2)