首页|社会少子化、刘易斯拐点与家庭教育投资——基于资源再配置的研究视角

社会少子化、刘易斯拐点与家庭教育投资——基于资源再配置的研究视角

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社会少子化对于家庭人力资本投资的影响,并非只是家庭经济资源的内部调配。少子化背后的公共教育、国民养老及代际抚育问题,使得家庭教育投资面临着更多外部不确定因素。使用2012-2020年五期中国家庭追踪调查数据,基于资源再配置的研究视角,探究社会少子化冲击下家庭教育投资的变化。结论表明,社会少子化现象的加剧会显著增加家庭教育支出;家庭教育投资决策是综合考虑多方因素后的结果,资源再配置效应发挥着重要作用;在跨越刘易斯拐点的过程中,人口的跨地域跨部门流动会进一步导致家庭教育投资的增加;就业与教育形势评估、学业成绩期望等隐性的心理因素会对家庭教育投资产生差异性影响。在社会少子化叠加刘易斯拐点的背景下,家庭教育投资的增加可能是这场资源再配置博弈下的无奈之举。在此过程中,协调多方资源、确保教育的公平与效率、使教育回归其应有之义,是政府未来制定教育政策的重点考虑方向。
Low Fertility,the Lewis Turning Point and Family Education Investment:A Research Perspective Based on Resource Reallocation
The impact of low fertility on a family's human capital investment does not merely indicate the internal allocation of the family's economic resources.The problems involving public education,national pension and intergenerational care behind low fertility bring more external uncertainties to the family's educational investment.This study,based on the data from the China Family Panel Studies in five periods between 2012 and 2020,and the research into resource reallocation,explores the changes in Chinese families'educational investment under the impact of low fertility.The research results reveal the following:Exacerbated low fertility significantly increased a family's educational expenditure;the decision-making in a family's educational investment resulted from various factors,and the effect of resource reallocation played an important role;during the crossing of the Lewis turning point,the cross-region and-sector flow of population further increased a family's educational investment;and hidden psychological factors such as the evaluation of employment and education,and the expectations for children's academic performance had different effects on a family's educational investment.Against the backdrop of the Lewis turning point,on which low fertility is superimposed,the increase in a family's educational investment is likely to be a helpless move in the competition in resource reallocation.The future educational policy of the government needs to focus on coordinating multi-party resources,ensuring educational fairness and efficiency,and returning education to its rightful meaning.

low fertilitythe Lewis turning pointfamily education expenditureresource reallocation

陈武元、陈祎、蔡庆丰

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厦门大学教育研究院

厦门大学经济学院(厦门 361005)

社会少子化 刘易斯拐点 家庭教育支出 资源再配置

国家社会科学基金2022年度后期资助暨优秀博士论文项目

22FJKB002

2024

教育研究
中央教育科学研究所

教育研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.445
ISSN:1002-5731
年,卷(期):2024.45(10)