Optimizing the Basic Education Teacher Allocation Mechanism Based on the New Pattern of School-age Population
The size of school-age population,the trend of its change,and its spatial distribution are the basic factors affecting the allocation of teachers in basic education.This study,based on the latest data from the 7th National Population Census in 2020 and the cohort-component method(a classical population-forecasting method),simulates the changes in the quantity and the structure of school-age children in urban and rural areas of China between 2020 and 2050.The research results reveal the following:The quantity of preschool children,showing a wave-shaped trend of"decline-steadiness-decline,"will change rapidly in the next decade,especially in rural areas;the quantity of school-age children at primary schools shows a trend of"steadiness-decline-steadiness";the quantity of school-age children at junior high schools shows a wave-shaped trend of"increase-decrease-steadiness";and the quantity of school-age children at senior high schools shows a trend of"increase-decrease,"but there is an apparent difference between urban and rural areas;based on the trend for the change of school-age population and the research-based standard for teacher allocation,the quantity of teachers at and below junior high schools needs to be deployed to varying degrees in different periods,and the quantity of teachers at senior high schools needs to be continuously increased.Therefore,the authors propose optimizing the mechanism for the overall and local allocation of teachers,improving the mechanism for teachers'graded and classified positions,creating a mechanism for teachers'transfer and shadowing-based classroom observation across different educational stages,and deepening the mechanism for teachers'rotation and exchanges between county-level schools and between urban and rural areas.
school-age populationbasic educationdemand for teachersallocation mechanism
万方数据
维普
