首页|妊娠早期胚胎停育的危险因素分析及列线图诊断模型构建

妊娠早期胚胎停育的危险因素分析及列线图诊断模型构建

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目的 分析妊娠早期胚胎停育的危险因素,并构建列线图诊断模型进行验证。方法 选取2020年6月至2022年7月该院收治的72例妊娠早期胚胎停育患者纳入停育组,另选取同期在该院产检的158例健康孕妇为对照组。比较两组临床资料,采用多因素Logistic回归分析妊娠早期胚胎停育的影响因素,构建妊娠早期胚胎停育风险的列线图诊断模型,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和校准曲线验证列线图模型的诊断效能。结果 停育组年龄大于对照组,甲状腺疾病、子宫异常、男性伴侣精液水平异常、叶酸代谢不良、接触放射性物质比例高于对照组,差异均有统计学意义(P<0。05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄越大、合并甲状腺疾病、子宫异常、男性伴侣精液水平异常、叶酸代谢不良、接触放射性物质为妊娠早期胚胎停育的危险因素(P<0。05)。构建的列线图诊断模型经Bootstrap自抽样内部验证后,一致性指数为0。719。ROC曲线分析该模型诊断妊娠早期胚胎停育的曲线下面积为0。813。结论 导致妊娠早期胚胎停育的相关危险因素有年龄增大、合并甲状腺疾病、子宫异常、男性伴侣精液水平异常、叶酸代谢不良、接触放射性物质,针对危险因素对育龄期女性实施医学检查及相关干预措施有积极作用,基于各危险因素建立的列线图模型具有较高的临床应用价值,医生可以对妊娠早期胚胎停育的风险进行快速、准确的评估,从而为患者提供更好的诊断和治疗方案。
Analysis of risk factors of embryo termination in early pregnancy and construction of nomogram diagnostic model
Objective To analyze the risk factors of embryo termination in early pregnancy,and construct a nomogram diagnostic model for verification.Methods Seventy-two patients with early pregnancy embryo ter-mination admitted to the hospital from June 2020 to July 2022 were retrospectively selected and included in the sterility group,and 158 healthy pregnant women who underwent birth examination in the hospital during the same period were selected as the control group.The clinical data of the two groups were compared,and the influencing factors of embryo termination in early pregnancy were analyzed by multivariate Logistic regres-sion.The diagnostic model of the risk of embryo termination in early pregnancy was constructed,and the diag-nostic efficiency of the model was verified by receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curve and calibration curve.Results The age in the sterility group was older than that in the control group,and the proportions of patients with thyroid disease,abnormal uterus,abnormal semen level of male partners,poor metabolism of fo-lic acid and exposure to radioactive substances in the sterility group were higher than those in the control group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that older age,thyroid disease,abnormal uterus,abnormal semen level of male partners,poor folate metabolism and exposure to radioactive substances were risk factors for embryo termination in early pregnan-cy(P<0.05).The nomogram diagnostic model was internally verified by Bootstrap self-sampling,and the consistency index was 0.719.ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of the model for diag-nosing embryo arrest in early pregnancy was 0.813.Conclusion Older age,thyroid disease,abnormal uterus,abnormal semen level of male partner,poor metabolism of folic acid and exposure to radioactive substances are the independent risk factors for embryo termination in early pregnancy.Medical examination and related inter-vention measures for women of childbearing age have a positive effect on risk factors,and the nomogram mod-el based on each risk factor has high clinical application value.Doctors can quickly and accurately assess the risk of embryo loss in early pregnancy,so as to provide better diagnosis and treatment options for patients.

early pregnancyembryo terminationnormal development of pregnancyrisk factornomogram

万方方、陈智英、李莉

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武汉大学中南医院生殖医学中心,湖北武汉 430071

妊娠早期 胚胎停育 妊娠正常发育 危险因素 列线图

2025

检验医学与临床
重庆市卫生信息中心 重庆市临床检验中心

检验医学与临床

影响因子:1.096
ISSN:1672-9455
年,卷(期):2025.22(1)