首页|在改革中扩大内需的系统框架与政策建议——基于收入水平、支出成本、供给质量三大变量视角

在改革中扩大内需的系统框架与政策建议——基于收入水平、支出成本、供给质量三大变量视角

扫码查看
刺激消费被视为扩大内需的主要思路.然而,这一命题的两大前提:居民储蓄率高而消费率低以及将消费行为视为居民愿意掏钱即可完成的单方面行为,都不能成立.为准确找到扩大内需的方向,从内需概念的传统界定思路出发,认为静态截面式的研究视角让内需的真实内涵以及决定性因素被忽略.在此基础上,明确指出消费是收入水平、支出成本与供给质量三大变量的函数.而收入增速下降导致居民不愿消费、大额长期性消费压力导致居民不敢消费、供给质量偏低导致居民不能消费,共同构成了中国内需不足的系统成因.对此,成功扩大内需,须以实现居民收入增长为根本目标,并从工资性收入、财产性收入、经营性收入与转移性收入四方面分别采取改革举措,让居民愿消费;着眼于住房、医疗、义务教育三方面,以降低成本为主要抓手,让居民敢消费;以吸引支出为发展导向,以法律保障、品牌培育、研发支撑、政策支持等方面为着力点,让居民能消费.
The Systematic Framework and Policy Suggestions for Expanding Domestic Demand in Reform—Based on the Perspective of Three Variables:Income Level,Expenditure Cost and Supply Quality
Stimulating consumption is regarded as the main idea of expanding domestic demand.However,the two major premises of this proposition,namely,the high savings rate and low consumption rate of residents,and the consumption behavior as a unilateral behavior that residents are willing to pay for,cannot be tenable.In order to accurately find the direction of expanding domestic demand,starting from the traditional definition of domestic demand,it is believed that the real meaning and decisive factors of domestic demand are ignored from the static cross-sectional research perspective.On this basis,it is clearly pointed out that consumption is a function of three variables:income level,expenditure cost and supply quality.The decline in income growth has led to residents'reluctance to consume,the pressure of large-scale long-term consumption has led to residents'fear of consumption,and the low quality of supply has led to residents'inability to consume,which together constitute the systematic causes of insufficient domestic demand in China.Therefore,to successfully expand domestic demand,it is necessary to achieve the fundamental goal of increasing residents'income,and take reform measures from four aspects:wage income,property income,operating income and transfer income,so that residents are willing to consume;focus on housing,medical care,and compulsory education,reduce costs as the main starting point,so that residents dare to consume;take attracting expenditure as the development orientation,and focus on legal protection,brand cultivation,research and development support,policy support,and other aspects,so that residents can consume.

Insufficient Domestic DemandPopulation IncomeLiving CostConsumer SpendingMarginal Propensity to Consume

惠春琳

展开 >

中共中央党校(国家行政学院)国际战略研究院,北京 100089

内需不足 居民收入 生活成本 消费支出 边际消费倾向

2024

开放导报
综合开发研究院(中国·深圳)

开放导报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.615
ISSN:1004-6623
年,卷(期):2024.(3)