首页|我国区域塌陷的时空演绎特征与影响因素——基于夜间灯光数据的实证研究

我国区域塌陷的时空演绎特征与影响因素——基于夜间灯光数据的实证研究

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区域塌陷问题制约了全国统一大市场建设和新时代区域协调发展.基于夜间灯光数据构建了区域塌陷指数,使用泰尔指数、空间自相关分析和核密度估计法对"十五"时期至"十三五"时期(2001-2020年)我国区域塌陷程度进行实证测度和时空演进分析,并运用地理探测器模型对区域塌陷的影响因素进行识别.结果显示,我国区域塌陷程度总体呈西高东低的梯度格局,且空间集聚特征不断增强.我国区域塌陷指数的区域差异主要源于区域内差异,总体呈倒U形变化.我国区域塌陷的演进趋势存在显著的区域异质性,东部与西部变化相对平稳,中部先"塌陷"后"崛起",东北塌陷程度升高;南北差距不断扩大,但东西差距仍是主要矛盾.经济、人口、城镇化、行政级别、科技、交通等因素共同影响了我国区域塌陷的空间格局分异.
Research on Spatial-Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of the Regional Collapse in China:Based on Evidence from Nightlight Data
The problem of regional collapse restricts the construction of a national unified market and the coordi-nated development of regions in the new era.This paper uses nightlight luminosity data to construct the regional col-lapse index and adopts Theil index,spatial autocorrelation analysis and kernel density estimation method to measure and analyze the spatial and temporal evolution of the regional collapse index in China from the 10th Five-Year Plan to the 13th Five-Year Plan(2001-2020).Then,the author applies geographic detector to identify the influencing factors of the regional collapse index.The results show that the regional collapse in China is generally in a gradient pattern,which is high in the west and low in the east,and the spatial agglomeration characteristics are constantly en-hanced.The regional difference of regional collapse index in China is mainly due to the interregional difference,which shows an inverted U shape.There is significant regional heterogeneity in the evolution trend of regional collapse in China.The changes in the eastern and the western regions are relatively stable,while the central regions"collap-ses"first and then"rises",and the collapse degree in the northeast China is intensifying;The gap between the north-ern and the southern regions is widening,but the gap between the western and the eastern regions remains the main contradiction.The spatial pattern differentiation of regional collapse in China is influenced by various factors such as economy,population,urbanization,administrative level,technology,and transportation.

regional collapsetime evolutionregional differencesluminositygeographic detector

王家庭、王浩然

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南开大学 中国城市与区域经济研究中心,天津 300071

区域塌陷 时间演进 区域差异 夜间灯光亮度 地理探测器

国家社会科学基金一般项目

21BJL057

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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