首页|中国县域新型城镇化水平的空间分布特征与驱动因子分析

中国县域新型城镇化水平的空间分布特征与驱动因子分析

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从经济、人口、社会3个维度构建县域新型城镇化发展水平的综合评价指标体系,基于2020年1 593个县(市)的截面数据,运用熵值法测算县域新型城镇化水平,并通过探索性数据分析法和三角模型分析其空间分布特征和三维关系模式,最后运用地理探测器对新型城镇化的驱动因子进行分析,研究结果发现,我国县域新型城镇化呈现东高西低的分布特征,并且存在正的空间相关性;东部地区的县域经济城镇化、人口城镇化和社会城镇化处于较为协调的发展状态,中、西部地区县域经济城镇化水平滞后于人口城镇化和社会城镇化;居民储蓄余额、工业企业个数、固定电话用户数和普通中学学生数是县域新型城镇化发展的主要驱动因子,并且任意两个驱动因子交互作用的影响大于单个因子.基于此,提出应通过完善基础设施体系、增加教育资源供给、推动工业优化升级等措施带动县域新型城镇化发展.
Analysis on Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Driving Factors of New Urbanization Level in Chinese Counties
This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the development level of new ur-banization in the counties from the three dimensions of economy,population and society.Based on the cross-section-al data of 1 593 counties(cities)in 2020,the entropy method is used to calculate the level of new urbanization in the counties,and its spatial distribution characteristics and three-dimensional relationship mode are analyzed through ex-ploratory data analysis and triangular model.Finally,the driving factors of new urbanization are analyzed using geo-graphical detectors.The results show that:the new urbanization in China's counties is characterized by high in the east and low in the west,and there is a positive spatial correlation.The county economy urbanization,population ur-banization and social urbanization in the eastern regions are in a relatively coordinated development state,while the county economy urbanization in the central and western regions lags behind the population urbanization and social ur-banization.The balance of residents'savings,the number of industrial enterprises,the number of fixed telephone us-ers and the number of ordinary middle school students are the main driving factors for the development of new urbani-zation in the counties,and the interaction of any two driving factors is greater than a single factor.Based on this,this paper proposes that we should improve the infrastructure system,increase the supply of educational resources,and promote industrial optimization and upgrading to promote the development of new urbanization in the counties.

county new urbanizationspatial correlationtriangular modelgeographical detector

梁树广、张芃芃、臧文嘉

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聊城大学 商学院,山东 聊城 252000

县域新型城镇化 空间相关性 三角模型 地理探测器

国家社会科学基金

21BJY065

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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