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城市蔓延对绿色发展的影响

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基于2006-2019年中国284个城市的面板数据,通过构建双向固定效应模型、门槛效应模型和空间计量模型,实证检验了城市蔓延对绿色发展的影响.研究发现,城市蔓延对绿色发展具有显著的负向影响,且该结论在经过一系列稳健性检验之后依然成立;城市蔓延对绿色发展的影响存在异质性,对中东部地区、未开通高铁城市、中小城市的绿色发展的负向影响更加显著;城市蔓延对绿色发展的影响存在单一门槛效应,适度的城市蔓延有助于促进绿色发展水平的提升,但过度的城市蔓延则会对绿色发展产生不利影响.城市蔓延对绿色发展存在显著的空间溢出效应,会抑制本地及邻近地区的绿色发展.基于此,提出科学合理地划定城市蔓延边界、因地制宜地制定城市蔓延调控策略以及加强城市间城市蔓延调控的协同效应等对策建议,以提升城市绿色发展水平.
Study on the Impact of Urban Sprawl on Green Development
Based on the panel data of 284 cities in China from 2006 to 2019,this paper empirically examines the impact of urban sprawl on green development by constructing two-way fixed effect models,threshold effect models and spatial econometric models.It is found that urban sprawl has a significant negative impact on green development,and this conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests.The impact of urban sprawl on green development is heterogeneous,and the negative impact on green development in central and eastern regions,cities without high-speed rail and small and medium-sized cities is more significant.The influence of urban sprawl on green develop-ment has a single threshold effect,and moderate urban sprawl helps to promote the improvement of green develop-ment,but excessive urban sprawl will have a negative impact on green development.Urban sprawl has significant spa-tial spillover effect on green development,which inhibits the green development of local and neighboring areas.Based on this,this paper provides suggestions and measures to scientifically and reasonably demarcate urban sprawl bounda-ries,formulate urban sprawl regulation and control strategies according to local conditions,and strengthen the syner-gistic effect of urban sprawl regulation among cities,so as to improve the level of urban green development.

urban sprawlgreen developmentthreshold effectspatial spillover effect

柳剑平、魏子璇

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湖北大学 商学院,武汉 430062

湖北省开放经济研究中心,武汉 430062

城市蔓延 绿色发展 门槛效应 空间溢出效应

国家社会科学基金重点项目

19AJL004

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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