首页|可持续生计框架下城镇家庭生活性借贷行为研究——基于2017年CHFS数据的实证分析

可持续生计框架下城镇家庭生活性借贷行为研究——基于2017年CHFS数据的实证分析

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基于2017年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,设计我国城镇家庭生活性借贷行为的可持续生计框架,运用熵值法赋权、Probit边际效应模型进行回归分析,首先实证分析全国城镇家庭生活性借贷行为影响因素,其次按东、中、西部地区进行划分,分析各地区城镇家庭生活性借贷行为的影响因素,并进行内生性与稳健性检验.实证结果表明,对中部地区城镇家庭而言,人力资本、经济资本、社会资本均会促进其生活性借贷的产生,而物质资本则会抑制其行为;对东、西部地区城镇家庭来说,人力资本、经济资本、社会资本均对其生活性借贷行为产生显著性影响,但不同地区具体的影响因素各不相同,使得其实证结论不一.因此,若欲改善各地区家庭生活性借贷现状,进而降低家庭负债率,应考虑各地区人力、经济、社会及物质等因素的实际情况,东部地区城镇家庭保持生计资本投入稳步增长,家庭借贷行为平稳有序发展;中、西部地区城镇家庭增加家庭资本积累,金融机构放宽借贷条件,配合政府政策,将家庭、金融机构及政府三方的努力相结合,共建稳定、和谐、高质量发展的新格局.
Study on Urban Households'Behavior of Borrowing for Living Expenses within the Framework of Sustainable Livelihoods:An Empirical Analysis Based on CHFS Data of 2017
Based on the data of China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)of 2017,this paper designs a sustain-able livelihood framework for China's urban households'behavior of borrowing behavior for living expenses,uses en-tropy method to weight and Probit marginal effect model to perform regression analysis.It empirically analyzes the in-fluencing factors of urban households'behavior of borrowing behavior for living expenses both in the whole country and in the eastern,central and western regions respectively,and tests the endogeneity and robustness.The empirical results show that as for urban households in the central regions,human,economic and social capital will promote the emergence of borrowing for living expenses,while material capital will inhibit their behavior;as for urban households in the eastern and western regions,human,economic and social capital significantly impact borrowing behavior for liv-ing expenses,but the influencing factors vary with regions,resulting in different situations.Therefore,in order to im-prove the current situation of households'borrowing behavior for living expenses in various regions and reduce the household debt ratio,considering the regional conditions of manpower,economic,social,material and other factors,livelihood capital investment of urban households in the eastern region maintains a steady increase,household borrow-ing behavior develops steadily and orderly;while urban households in the central and western regions increase house-hold capital accumulation.Financial institutions should soften lending standards,cooperate with government policies,and combine with the efforts of households,financial institutions,and the government,to build a new pattern of sta-ble,harmonious and high-quality development.

sustainable livelihoodshouseholds'borrowing for living expensesurban areas in eastern,central and western regionsCHFS

张梦瑶

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银川能源学院 商学院,银川 750100

可持续生计 家庭生活性借贷 东中西部地区城镇 CHFS

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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