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我国省域层面新型现代化进程评价研究

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基于党的二十大报告提出的中国式现代化的内涵特征和本质要求,从经济现代化、社会现代化、民生现代化和生态现代化4个维度提出了省域现代化评价指标体系,初步测算了 31个省(区、市)典型年份的现代化指数,并通过动态过程变化初步估算了这些地区2025年和2030年现代化实现程度.结果表明,2010-2020年各省(区、市)现代化进程顺利,新型现代化指数明显上升;省域现代化进程的空间差异较为明显,东高西低,北京、上海、江苏和浙江4省(市)率先进入现代化状态;各地区不同方面的现代化进展不一,民生现代化相对均衡,经济现代化差异明显;到2035年除西藏以外,各省(区、市)均可实现基本现代化;不同地区推进现代化进程的策略不同,总体水平较高地区现代化推进的重点是社会现代化,其他地区则应努力处理好经济发展与生态环境保护之间的关系.
Study on the Evaluation of the New Modernization Process at Provincial Level in China
Based on the connotation characteristics and essential requirements of China's modernization proposed in the Report to the 20th CPC National Congress,this paper proposes an evaluation index system for provincial mod-ernization from four dimensions:economic modernization,social modernization,livelihood modernization,and ecolog-ical modernization;the modernization index of 31 provincial-level regions in typical years is preliminarily calculated,and the level of modernization realization of these regions in 2025 and 2030 is preliminarily estimated through dynamic process changes.The results show that from 2010 to 2020,the modernization process of each region has advanced smoothly,and the index of new modernization has increased significantly.There is a noticeable spatial difference in provincial modernization process,with the eastern regions more advanced than the west,Beijing,Shanghai,Jiangsu,and Zhejiang,four regions have taken the lead in entering the modernization status.The progress of modernization in different aspects varies in different regions,with relatively balanced livelihood modernization and significant differ-ences in economic modernization.By 2035,except for Tibet,all provincial-level regions will achieve basic moderni-zation;different regions have different strategies for promoting the modernization process;more advanced regions focus on social modernization,while others should strive to balance the relationship between economic development and eco-logical environment protection.

new modernizationprovincialindex systemfeature analysis

赵西君、吴殿廷、朱宇桐

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中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京 100190

北京师范大学 地理科学学部,北京 100875

北京联合大学 应用文理学院,北京 100083

新型现代化 省域 指标体系 特征分析

国家自然科学基金重点项目

71834006

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(3)