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全国文明城市评选对房价的影响

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近年来,我国深入推进新型城镇化战略,努力提高城市品质和文明水平.作为具有中国特色的城市治理模式,全国文明城市评选活动在经济社会发展中产生了重要的影响,探究全国文明城市评选在中国房地产市场发展中的作用,具有重要的理论价值和现实意义.基于2003-2019年我国248个地级市的数据,运用多期DID模型分析了全国文明城市评选对房价的影响和作用机制.研究结果显示,获评全国文明城市对城市房价具有显著的正向作用,城市在获评全国文明城市之后会拥有更高的房价.机制分析表明,获评全国文明城市通过提高公共服务供给、劳动力素质,促进经济集聚以及提高土地价格,进而正向影响城市房价.异质性分析表明,获评全国文明城市对房价的影响具有区域、人口规模以及城市等级等方面的异质性,与其他城市相比,获评全国文明城市称号对房价的促进作用在中部和东部地区城市、人口规模大的城市以及高发展等级城市中更为明显.
Research on the Impact of National Civilized City Assessment on Housing Prices
In recent years,China has deeply promoted the new urbanization strategy and strived to improve urban quality and civilization.As a model of urban governance with Chinese characteristics,the national civilized city as-sessment has had an important impact on economic and social development.It is of great theoretical value and practi-cal significance to explore the role of the national civilized city assessment in the development of China's real estate market.Based on the data of 248 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2019,this paper analyzes the influence and mechanism of national civilized city assessment on housing prices by using a Staggered Difference-in-Differences(DID)model.The results show that:being awarded the title of National Civilized City has a significant positive effect on urban housing prices,leading to higher housing prices after the award.The mechanism analysis reveals that being awarded the title can positively affect urban housing prices by improving public services provision,improving the qual-ity of labor force,promoting economic agglomeration and increasing the land prices.The heterogeneity analysis indi-cates that the influence of being awarded the title on housing prices is heterogeneous in areas such as regions,popula-tion sizes and city tiers.Compared with other cities,the promotional effect of the title on housing prices is more pro-nounced in central and eastern regions,cities with larger populations,and cities with higher development tiers.

national civilized cityhousing pricesStaggered Difference-in-Differences(DID)

易成栋、张申鑫、陈敬安

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中央财经大学 管理科学与工程学院,北京 100081

全国文明城市 房价 多时点双重差分

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(6)