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"本地-邻地"视角下人口流动对城市创新的影响效应

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基于中国284个地级及以上城市的面板数据,通过构建空间杜宾模型,实证分析了人口流动对"本地-邻地"创新水平的影响效应.研究发现,人口流入有利于促进本地创新发展,且三线及以下城市人口流入对本地创新水平的促进作用更强,一线城市最弱.本地人口流动对与之相距300 km范围内地区的溢出效应大于虹吸效应,对与之相距300~400 km范围内地区的虹吸效应大于溢出效应,对距离超过400 km的地区影响不显著.人口流入对与本地经济发展水平和人力资本水平相近以及产业结构相似城市创新水平的溢出效应大于虹吸效应,且经济发展水平越高的地区溢出效应越强.网络基础设施可以对人口流动的"本地-邻地"创新效应进行调节,有利于克服地理专制对空间知识溢出的阻碍并减弱人口流动对其他地区创新水平的虹吸效应,且这种调节效应不受空间距离的限制.基于研究结论提出增强人口流入的溢出效应以及因地制宜发挥人口数量、质量红利的对策建议.
Research on the Influence of Population Mobility on Urban Innovation from the Perspective of"Local-Neighboring Areas"
Based on the panel data of 284 Chinese cities at prefecture level and above,this paper empirically an-alyzes the impact of population mobility on the innovation level of"local-neighboring areas"by constructing spatial Dubin model.The study finds that population inflow is conducive to the development of local innovation,and the pro-motion effects of population inflow on the level of local innovation is stronger in third-tier cities and lower-tier cities,with the weakest effects in first-tier cities.The spillover effect of local population mobility is greater than the siphon effect on the area within 300 km radius,the siphon effect is greater than the spillover effect in the area within 300~400 km radius,and the impact on the area more than 400 km radius is not significant.The spillover effect of popula-tion inflow on the innovation level of cities with similar local economic development level and human capital level as well as similar industrial structure is greater than the siphon effect.The higher the level of economic development,the stronger the spillover effect.Network infrastructure can moderate the"local-neighboring areas"innovation effect of population mobility,it can help to overcome the obstacles of geographical despotism to spatial knowledge spillover and reduce the siphon effect of population movement on innovation levels in other regions,which is not limited by spatial distance.Therefore,the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to enhance the spillover effect of population in-flow and how to leverage quantity and quality dividends of population"according to local conditions".

population mobilityurban innovationlocal-neighboring areasspillover effectsiphon effect

徐晓勇、于超月、龚建骄

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云南大学 经济学院,昆明 650500

人口流动 城市创新 本地-邻地 溢出效应 虹吸效应

2024

开发研究
甘肃省社会科学院

开发研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1003-4161
年,卷(期):2024.(6)