首页|人口老龄化对产业结构升级的影响——基于重庆市的实证研究

人口老龄化对产业结构升级的影响——基于重庆市的实证研究

扫码查看
随着人口老龄化程度的日益加剧,经济社会尤其是产业结构的发展必将受到影响.基于重庆市人口老龄化和产业结构现状,选取1997-2022年的时间序列数据分析人口老龄化对产业结构升级的影响及作用机制,测度人口老龄化在产业结构升级过程中的贡献度.结果表明,人口老龄化有利于产业结构高级化的演进且存在长期持续拉动效应,尤其对第三产业的结构影响最为显著.因此,重庆市要顺应当前人口老龄化发展趋势,高度重视人口老龄化对产业结构调整带来的冲击,制定出契合自身实际的发展之策.
The Impact of Population Aging on Industrial Structure:An Empirical Study Based on Chongqing City
With the increasing aging degree of the population,the development of the economy and soci-ety,especially the industrial structure,will be profoundly affected.Based on the current situation of population aging and industrial structure in Chongqing City,the time series data from 1997 to 2022 were selected to analyze the action mechanism of the impact of population aging on industrial structure upgrading.This paper discussed the impact of the population aging on the industrial structure,and measured the contribution degree in the process of the industrial structure upgrading.The results show that the aging of the population is conducive to the evolution of the advanced industrial structure and has a long-term continuous pulling effect,especially if it has the most significant impact on the struc-ture of the tertiary industry.Therefore,Chongqing City should adapt to the current development trend of population aging,attach great importance to the impact of population aging on the adjustment of in-dustrial structure,and formulate countermeasures in line with its own reality.

Aging of PopulationAdvanced Industrial StructureVector-Autoregressive Model

高雯雯、王祖山

展开 >

中南民族大学 经济学院,湖北 武汉 430074

人口老龄化 产业结构高级化 向量自回归模型

2024

科技创业月刊
湖北省科技信息研究院

科技创业月刊

影响因子:0.254
ISSN:1672-2272
年,卷(期):2024.37(2)
  • 23