In order to test whether the renewable energy industry can continue the rapid development and achieve the goals set in the 14th Five-Year Renewable Energy Plan,the average weakening buffer operator is used to buffer and preprocess the original data sequence of wind power and solar power generation to eliminate the impact disturbance caused by external factors of industrial policy.On this basis,GM(1,1)model is applied to predict total renewable energy consumption and power generation,wind and solar power generation.According to the forecast results,none of the above predicted objects can guarantee the realization of the development goals set in the 14th Five-Year Plan on schedule.Based on the prediction results,the paper puts forward to the following recommendations.Firstly,enhance the market consumption capacity and improve the utilization level of renewable energy;Secondly,improve the market-oriented mechanism and realize the renewable energy market-driven development;Thirdly,continue to strengthen energy conservation and emission reduction and control the growth of total energy consumption.
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