A Review of Research on Risk in the Development Process of Complex Product Systems
The research and development of complex product systems(CoPS)is highly uncertain and complex,involving many risk factors.Many scholars have conducted research on the risk of the research and development of CoPS,to provide deep insight into CoPS R&D risk management,in order to improve the success rate of the research and development of CoPS.From that,combing 89 documents related to CoPS R&D process risk research from Web of Science,CNKI,and other databases from 1998 to 2023,the risk research work of CoPS development process is summarized from the perspectives of risk management,risk generation,and risk transmission.Results display that in the field of CoPS risk research,the related research on risk management is the most extensive,and the number of literature has gradually increased since 1998,accounting for 78%,which is the main research direction in the field;while the related research on risk generation receives less attention,the number of documents accounts for 11%,and the publication time is relatively scattered,with no more than one article per year except for 2015 and 2018;and the first literature of risk transmission related research was published in 2013,and it has attracted continuous attention in recent years,and the number of documents accounts for 11%.Among them,the risk management related research is mainly carried out from the four core links of risk identification,risk assessment,risk response,and risk control,revealing how to effectively identify and deal with potential risks through various methods in the CoPS development process;risk generation related research mainly explores the generation path of default risks and technical risks of stakeholders,and makes preliminary exploration on the interaction between risk factors;and the research on risk transmission analyzes how risk spreads at different stages and between departments of the project.At the same time,it can be seen that the current risk management research mainly focuses on the discussion of single risk factors,and lacks the systematic risk identification,control and response of the process or life cycle in the process of CoPS development;the research of risk generation lacks of in-depth study on the mechanism of risk coupling and risk events;to some extent,risk transmission research ignores the dynamic influence among risk factors,and the support of relevant case data is insufficient.Based on this,from the perspective of research content,research methods,and considering the current and future external macro environment impact,some research directions that can be further explored in the future are proposed.
complex product systemsresearch and development processrisk managementrisk generationrisk propagation
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