Simulation Study on the Growth of Strategic Emerging Industries from the Perspective of Innovation Ecosystem
The dynamic and complex relationship between innovation factors within strategic emerging industries has not been fully revealed.In order to further analyze the influence of different factors on the growth of the industry,and to promote the high-quality development of China's strategic emerging industries under the innovation ecosystem model,a system dynamics model for strategic emerging industries is constructed based on the perspective of innovation ecosystem research.The statistical data of China's new-generation information technology(NGIT)industry from 2015 to 2021 is collected from relevant yearbooks and enterprise financial statements as well as official websites of government departments,…equations for simulation analysis are established by comprehensive using the linear regression method,hierarchical analysis method,empirical formula method,and establishing table function,etc.The results show that:(1)The innovation ecosystem of strategic emerging industries contains 5 state variables,5 rate variables,24 auxiliary variables,and 13 constants,and its growth dynamics mechanism mainly includes the innovation supply subsystem,the growth demand subsystem,and the environmental support subsystem,while the subsystems interact with each other and jointly affect the growth of the industry.(2)The error absolute value between the simulated data and the actual data of the output value and the number of patents of China's NGIT industry from 2015 to 2021 is within 5%,which can accurately simulate the actual situation of industrial growth.(3)Changes in demand,changes in research funding,and changes in government financial expenditure are the key factors influencing the growth of China's NGIT industry,among which the influence factor of government consumption,the influence factor of residents'consumption,the coefficient of R&D funding,the coefficient of R&D personnel,the coefficient of government R&D investment,and the coefficient of education investment all have a positive effect on the growth of the industry,and the coefficient of education investment has the highest degree of influence.Besides,the effect of multiple parameter changes is far more significant than the effect of a single factor change.(4)The value added of industry,the proportion of industrial added value in regional gross domestic product,the number of patents,the sales revenue of new products and other indicators will show a better growth trend in the future.Accordingly,related management enlightenment is concluded to further increase the investment in scientific research,accelerate the cultivation of technical talents,and strengthen the cooperation between industry,academia,research,and government.
strategic emerging industriesindustry growthinnovation ecosysteminnovation elementssystem dynamics modelsimulation analysismultiple perspectivesnew generation information technology industry
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