首页|制度松绑、数字治理生态与新质生产力——双重机器学习下大数据管理机构设立的准自然实验

制度松绑、数字治理生态与新质生产力——双重机器学习下大数据管理机构设立的准自然实验

Institutional Deregulation,Digital Governance Ecosystem and New Quality Productive Forces:A Quasi-Natural Experiment for the Establishment of Big Data Management Organizations under the Double Machine Learning Model

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数据具有边际报酬递增乘数效应,是打造新质生产力的新增长极.通过数据制度松绑将赋能新质生产力,助力高质量发展与中国式现代化.借助双重机器学习模型,选取2010-2022年省级面板数据,探讨大数据管理机构设立对新质生产力的影响,考察制度松绑、数字治理生态与新质生产力的内在联系与建链路径.研究发现:①以大数据管理机构设立为代表的制度松绑能有效促进新质生产力发展.大数据管理机构的设立推动数字政策环境、数字经济环境与数字社会环境优化,从而作用于新质生产力发展;②进一步分析发现,制度松绑带来的驱动效应受到异质性因素干扰,其中在高政府效率、高人力资本、高信息化水平地区的作用效果更强.研究结论为新质生产力嵌入制度变迁视角提供理论解读,为通过制度路径和治理体系推动新质生产力发展提供现实依据.
The new quality productive forces are defined by the reliance on the superposition and iteration of data elements.This represents the original driving force behind the maintenance of high-quality economic and social development.Never-theless,at this juncture,the advancement of novel,new quality productive forces in China is still constrained by institu-tional impediments,including the absence of a well-defined property rights system,a suboptimal distribution apparatus,and inadequate incentives,particularly a deficient database system and an imperfect data governance apparatus.The insuf-ficient development of economic,educational,scientific and technological,and human resources is regarded as the primary factor contributing to the stagnation in the advancement of new quality productive forces.Some studies have proposed that the development of new quality productive forces should be reinforced through the establishment of a modernized industrial system,the advancement of scientific and educational endeavors,the advancement of scientific and technological innova-tion and the cultivation of scientific talent.However,a limitation of these studies is that they do not address the institu-tional constraints that impede the leapfrogging of new quality productive forces,particularly the lack of empirical evidence on whether effective institutional arrangements for data can facilitate the development of new quality productive forces.By establishing effective institutional frameworks,big data management organizations have been instrumental in re-moving obstacles,enhancing aggregation,and facilitating circulation.As a result,they have contributed to the develop-ment of a robust digital governance ecosystem,enabling the realization of data's full potential.This may prove to be a piv-otal factor in facilitating new quality productive forces gains centered on data-driven.Accordingly,this paper considers the establishment of provincial big data management agencies as a prototypical instance of data institutional deregulation.It examines the intrinsic links and pathways of action of institutional deregulation,the digital governance ecosystem,and new quality productive forces from the perspective of institutional change,utilizing provincial panel data from 2010 to 2022 and a double machine learning model.The findings indicate that the establishment of the big data management organizations,which represents institutional deregulation,has been effective in promoting the development of new quality productive forces.A mechanism analysis in-dicates that the establishment of big data management organizations can facilitate the creation of a favorable digital govern-ance ecosystem and accelerate the development of new quality productive forces through the exploitation of institutional ad-vantages.Specifically,the establishment of management organizations optimizes the digital policy environment,the digital economic environment,and the digital social environment,thereby contributing to the development of new quality produc-tive forces.Further analysis indicates that the impact of institutional deregulation on new quality productive forces varies across contexts.In regions exhibiting high government efficiency,high human capital,and high levels of information tech-nology,the effect is particularly pronounced.This paper contributes threefold to the literature.Firstly,it introduces a novel research perspective.From the van-tage point of institutional change,the institutional deregulation experiment of establishing a big data management organi-zation reveals that institutional deregulation exerts an upgrading influence on the advancement of new quality productive forces.This not only serves to embed the theoretical interpretation of the institutional change perspective for new quality productive forces,but also provides empirical evidence from China to deepen the institutional theory in the era of digital in-telligence.Secondly,this paper presents a novel chain-building path of"institutional deregulation-digital governance eco-system-new quality productive forces,"which can further elucidate the mechanism that is currently opaque between insti-tutional deregulation and the development of new quality productive forces.Thirdly,it methodologically employs double machine learning to address model issues in complex analyses.It can effectively circumvent the issues of model misspecifi-cation and the curse of dimensionality that may be encountered by traditional models in the intricate cascade of the topics of new quality productive forces,enhancing conclusion accuracy.The study's findings offer a theoretical interpretation of the institutional change perspective for new quality productive forces and provide a practical basis for policy formulation to pro-mote the development of new quality productive forces through institutional paths and governance systems.

Institutional DeregulationDigital Governance EcosystemNew Quality Productive ForcesBig Data Manage-ment OrganizationsDouble Machine Learning

魏万青、叶秋志、陈永洲

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广西大学 公共管理学院,广西 南宁 530004

华东师范大学 社会发展学院,上海 200241

广西大学 区域社会治理创新研究中心,广西 南宁 530004

制度松绑 数字治理生态 新质生产力 大数据管理机构 双重机器学习

2025

科技进步与对策
湖北省科技信息研究院

科技进步与对策

北大核心
影响因子:1.23
ISSN:1001-7348
年,卷(期):2025.42(1)