首页|"多言寡行"的数字化转型披露与分析师预测行为

"多言寡行"的数字化转型披露与分析师预测行为

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在我国加快推进企业数字化转型的政策背景下,本文揭露了企业存在对数字化转型采取"多言寡行"信息披露的现象,并基于分析师这一重要的信息中介视角,发现"多言寡行"的数字化转型披露模式将会增加分析师的预测分歧度与误差.异质性检验发现,这一效应在内外部信息环境较差的企业中更为显著.进一步分析发现,"多言寡行"的数字化转型披露加剧了分析师预测的乐观偏差,并且跟踪企业的明星分析师越少,乐观偏差越大.本文有助于资本市场对"多言寡行"的数字化转型企业进行识别,为保障我国数字化转型的顺利推进提供了新的参考建议.
"More Talk,Less Action"Disclosure of Digital Transformation and Analyst Forecast Behavior
Against the backdrop of China's policies to accelerate corporate digital transformation,this paper reveals that some companies exhibit a"more talk,less action"(MTLA)approach in their digital transformation disclosures.From the perspective of analysts as important information interme-diaries,the study finds that MTLA in digital transformation disclosures increases both analysts'forecast disagreement and errors.Heterogeneity tests show that this effect is more pronounced in firms with poorer internal and external information environments.Further analysis reveals that MTLA digital transfor-mation disclosures exacerbate analysts'optimistic bias,and the fewer star analysts tracking a company,the greater the optimistic bias.This study contrib-utes to the identification of companies with MTLA digital transformation behaviors in the capital market and provides new recommendations for ensuring the smooth progress of digital transformation in China.

Digital TransformationMore Talk Less ActionInformation DisclosureAnalyst BehaviorInformation Efficiency

李哲、李心武、焦焰、张文婷

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中央财经大学会计学院 100081

南京审计大学会计学院 211815

数字化转型 多言寡行 信息披露 分析师行为 信息效率

2024

会计研究
中国会计学会

会计研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:6.346
ISSN:1003-2886
年,卷(期):2024.(9)