科学通报2024,Vol.69Issue(27) :4005-4011.DOI:10.1360/TB-2024-0439

盘点气候风险机遇,展望健康繁荣未来

Taking stock of climate action for a healthy and thriving future

张诗卉 张弛 蔡闻佳 白玉琪 Max Callaghan 常楠 陈彬 陈慧琪 程亮亮 戴瀚程 代鑫 范维澄 房小怡 高仝 耿阳 关大博 胡艺馨 华峻翊 黄存瑞 黄弘 黄建斌 黄小猛 纪思翰 蒋俏蕾 姜晓朋 Gregor Kiesewetter 李湉湉 梁璐 林波荣 林华亮 刘欢 刘起勇 刘小波 刘钊 刘竹 刘昱甫 陆波 鲁晨曦 罗震宇 马伟 米志付 任超 Marina Romanello 沈鉴翔 苏婧 孙语泽 孙昕璐 汤绪 Maria Walawender 王灿 王情 汪蕊 Laura Warnecke 魏汪宇 文三妹 谢杨 熊辉 徐冰 颜钰 杨秀 姚芳虹 俞乐 袁嘉灿 曾仪娉 张镜 张璐 张锐 张尚辰 张少辉 赵梦真 郑大山 周浩 周景博 周子乔 罗勇 宫鹏
科学通报2024,Vol.69Issue(27) :4005-4011.DOI:10.1360/TB-2024-0439

盘点气候风险机遇,展望健康繁荣未来

Taking stock of climate action for a healthy and thriving future

张诗卉 1张弛 2蔡闻佳 1白玉琪 1Max Callaghan 3常楠 4陈彬 5陈慧琪 6程亮亮 6戴瀚程 7代鑫 8范维澄 9房小怡 10高仝 11耿阳 12关大博 1胡艺馨 13华峻翊 14黄存瑞 15黄弘 9黄建斌 1黄小猛 1纪思翰 15蒋俏蕾 16姜晓朋 17Gregor Kiesewetter 18李湉湉 19梁璐 20林波荣 12林华亮 6刘欢 21刘起勇 22刘小波 22刘钊 23刘竹 1刘昱甫 1陆波 24鲁晨曦 25罗震宇 21马伟 26米志付 27任超 28Marina Romanello 29沈鉴翔 1苏婧 30孙语泽 1孙昕璐 27汤绪 31Maria Walawender 29王灿 21王情 19汪蕊 1Laura Warnecke 18魏汪宇 16文三妹 16谢杨 32熊辉 33徐冰 1颜钰 26杨秀 34姚芳虹 35俞乐 1袁嘉灿 31曾仪娉 36张镜 16张璐 22张锐 35张尚辰 1张少辉 37赵梦真 2郑大山 6周浩 38周景博 39周子乔 7罗勇 1宫鹏40
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作者信息

  • 1. 清华大学地球系统科学系,北京 100084
  • 2. 北京理工大学管理学院,北京 100081
  • 3. Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change,Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change,Berlin 10829,Germany
  • 4. 南京医科大学公共卫生学院,南京 211166
  • 5. 北京师范大学环境学院,北京 100875
  • 6. 中山大学公共卫生学院,广州 510080
  • 7. 北京大学环境科学与工程学院,北京 100871
  • 8. 清华大学公共安全研究所,北京 100084
  • 9. 清华大学公共安全研究所,北京 100084;清华大学工程物理系,北京 100084
  • 10. 中国气象科学研究院气象影响与风险研究中心,北京 100086
  • 11. 山东师范大学商学院,济南 250013
  • 12. 清华大学建筑学院,北京 100084
  • 13. 南方科技大学统计与数据科学系,深圳 518055
  • 14. 中国海洋大学国际事务与公共管理学院,青岛 266003
  • 15. 清华大学万科公共卫生学院,北京 100084
  • 16. 清华大学新闻与传播学院,北京 100084
  • 17. 世界卫生组织驻华代表处,北京 100600
  • 18. Pollution Management Research Group,Energy,Climate,and Environment Program,International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis(IIASA),Laxenburg 1-A-2361,Austria
  • 19. 中国疾病预防控制中心环境与健康相关产品安全所,环境健康风险评估室,北京 102206
  • 20. Department of Landscape Architecture & Environmental Planning,University of California,Berkeley CA 94607,USA
  • 21. 清华大学环境学院,北京 100084
  • 22. 中国疾病预防控制中心传染病预防控制所,传染病预防控制国家重点实验室,北京 102206
  • 23. 北京经济管理职业学院临空经济管理学院,北京 100102
  • 24. 中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 25. 清华大学地球系统科学系,北京 100084;Geography,College of Life and Environmental Sciences,University of Exeter,Exeter EX1 2LU,UK
  • 26. 山东大学齐鲁医学院公共卫生学院流行病学系,济南 250002
  • 27. The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction,University College London,London WC1H 0AL,UK
  • 28. 香港大学建筑学院,香港 999077
  • 29. Institute for Global Health,University College London,London WC1H 0AL,UK
  • 30. 清华大学人文学院,北京 100084
  • 31. 复旦大学大气与海洋系/大气科学研究院,上海 200438;复旦大学极端天气/气候事件与人体健康风险互联和治理国际卓越中心,上海 200438
  • 32. 北京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,北京 100083
  • 33. 香港科技大学计算机科学与工程系,广州 511453
  • 34. 清华大学气候变化与可持续发展研究院,北京 100084
  • 35. 北京大学体育教研部,北京 100871
  • 36. 清华大学苏世民学院,北京 100084
  • 37. Pollution Management Research Group,Energy,Climate,and Environment Program,International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis(IIASA),Laxenburg 1-A-2361,Austria;北京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,北京 100083
  • 38. 清华大学城市治理与可持续发展研究院,北京 100084
  • 39. 百度研究院,北京 100091
  • 40. 香港大学地球科学系和地理系,香港 999077
  • 折叠

Abstract

Human health is inextricably linked to climate change,as the increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events,such as heatwaves,floods,and hurricanes pose direct and indirect threats to human life and well-being.The first round of the Global Stocktake(GST)in 2023 will provide a systematic inventory of actions to address climate change,and guidance for identifying and implementing interventions that prioritize health considerations.The 2023 China Report of the Lancet Countdown,led by Tsinghua University with contributions from 76 experts from 26 leading global institutions,continues to track progress on health and climate change in China through 28 indicators across five domains.These domains encompass a wide spectrum,from the climate change impacts,exposures,and vulnerability(Section 1),to different elements of actions including adaption(Section 2),mitigation and their health implications(Section 3),economics and finance(Section 4),and public and political engagement(Section 5).We selected the most urgent and relevant indicators to compilea policy brief that provides a comprehensive understanding of recent progress on climate change and health in China.This report is the fourth China Lancet Countdown report,pays particular attention to the impacts on the health risks arising from human-induced climate change(Panel 2),and production-and consumption-based CO2 and PM2.5 emissions(indicator 4.2.4),indicating the urgency for mitigation by identifying human contribution to carbon emissions and climate change.In addition,we found that the record-breaking heat and drought of 2022 were associated with increased adverse health outcomes.Wildfire exposure increased by 54%compared to the historical baseline,while heatwave-related mortality increased by 342%,heat-related work loss increased by 24%,safe outdoor physical activity loss increased by 67%and the resulting hours available for safe outdoor activities decreased by 9.6%.Human-caused climate change was responsible for 49.4%of heatwave-related mortality,30.9%of heat-related labour productivity loss,98.8%of population affected by drought,and 7.6%of population affected by flood in the previous 20 years.The national health emergency response score rose from 73 in 2020 to 73.5 in 2021,and health risk early warnings expanded to cover eight provinces and 27 cities,shielding 183.3 million people.Based on the findings,the following recommendations are put forth to safeguard against the climate change-related health risks:(1)Increase investment,research and development of renewable energy to avoid lock-in effects of coal power.Investing in renewable energy infrastructures can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and promote energy diversity and resilience.(2)Harness the synergies in actions to reduce carbon and air pollutants.By capitalizing on the interconnections between carbon reduction and improved air quality,China can protect human health,enhance environmental well-being,and build resilient communities for generations to come.(3)Establish meteorology-informed early warning systems for health,and develop a population-health-oriented meteorological early warning system that accounts for climate health hazards.(4)Encourage research focused on the compound and cascading effects of extreme weather events,and on efficient response strategies.By promoting relevant research,China can deepen its understanding of the compound and cascading effects of extreme weather events,and develop effective strategies to mitigate their effects,safeguard lives,and foster societal resilience.(5)Develop health adaptation guidelines tailored to the specific needs and roles of different actors.These guidelines should offer targeted recommendations and strategies for a range of stakeholders,including local governments,healthcare systems,communities,and individuals.

关键词

climate change/public health/stock/extreme weather

Key words

climate change/public health/stock/extreme weather

引用本文复制引用

基金项目

英国惠康基金会(Wellcome Trust)

英国惠康基金会(209734/Z/17/Z)

国家自然科学基金(72091514)

国家自然科学基金(72140002)

国家自然科学基金(72104029)

中国气象局气候变化专项()

能源基金会()

唐仲英基金会()

出版年

2024
科学通报
中国科学院国家自然科学基金委员会

科学通报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.269
ISSN:0023-074X
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