首页|创新系统视角下美国国家人工智能战略的演化逻辑及趋势分析

创新系统视角下美国国家人工智能战略的演化逻辑及趋势分析

扫码查看
人工智能作为新一轮技术革命和工业转型的主要推动者,将对世界和人类社会产生深远的影响.美国是在全球范围内率先进行人工智能战略布局的国家,从奥巴马政府到拜登政府一直高度重视和推进人工智能国家战略设计,旨在提升美国人工智能研发和产业的全球竞争力,维护美国在人工智能领域的全球领导地位.基于美国人工智能发展优势的背景,采用历史分析方法对美国国家人工智能战略文本进行深度挖掘,把握美国国家人工智能战略的演进脉络.引入人工智能产业创新系统的横向分析框架,将历史视角与创新系统视角结合,剖析美国国家人工智能战略内部的连续性和动态性,以期较为清晰的呈现美国国家人工智能战略的演化逻辑,为预判美国国家人工智能战略的发展趋势提供理论支撑.得出的主要研究结论是:美国国家人工智能战略的连续性体现在高强度的人工智能基础研究投入、人工智能人才的培养、大数据战略的推进、人工智能的组织机制建设四个方面;美国国家人工智能战略的动态性表现在人工智能产业化和商业化扩散、人工智能企业作用加强、新冠疫情场景的应用、加强人工智能国际合作四个方面;美国国家人工智能战略的连续性与动态性相互作用推动美国人工智能的发展,具体表现为持续投入人工智能基础研究、构建人工智能公私合作伙伴关系、全面布局人工智能基础设施、加强国内人工智能战略引导与国际人工智能环境建设.
Analysis of the Evolutionary Logic and Trends of the U.S.National Artificial Intelligence Strategy from the Perspective of Innovation Systems
Recently,U.S.startup Open AI released ChatGPT,a chatbot program,whose powerful learning,under-standing,and conversational capabilities are sought after by users worldwide.The success of the big language model repre-sented by ChatGPT indicates that AI has entered a new stage,where richer content production and smoother interactive ex-periences not only expand the application scenarios of AI,but also accelerate the landing of new business models,which will have a huge impact on economic development and social life.The U.S.continues to lead the global technological breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and occupies a global leadership position in the field of artificial intelligence.Based on the background of U.S.AI development advantages,this study attempts to analyze the internal mechanism of AI national strategy design from the Obama administration to the Biden administration from the perspective of U.S.top-level strategy,clarify the trend of U.S.AI top-level strategy,and decipher the path law of the U.S.in enhancing the global competitiveness of AI R&D and innovation.Thus,it summarizes the U.S.experience in formulating and laying out AI strategies and policies,and combines it with the current situation of China's AI development to provide insights and suggestions for China's advancement of AI strategies and policies.Adopting the historical analysis method to deeply excavate the text of the U.S.national AI strategy and grasp the evo-lution of the U.S.national AI strategy.The horizontal analysis framework of AI industrial innovation system is introduced to combine the historical perspective with the innovation system perspective to analyze the continuity and dynamics with-in the U.S.national AI strategy,with a view to presenting a clearer picture of the evolutionary logic of the U.S.national AI strategy,and to provide theoretical support for the prediction of the development trend of the U.S.national AI strategy.The main conclusions drawn are:the continuity of the U.S.national AI strategy is reflected in the four aspects of high-intensity investment in basic AI research,the cultivation of AI talents,the promotion of big data strategy,and the con-struction of the organizational mechanism of AI;the dynamics of the U.S.national AI strategy is manifested in the pro-liferation of the industrialization and commercialization of AI,the strengthening of the role of AI enterprises,and the appli-cation of the new crown epidemic scenarios,strengthening AI international cooperation in four aspects;the continuity of the U.S.national AI strategy interacts with the dynamics to promote the development of U.S.AI,which is manifested in the continuous investment in AI basic research,the construction of AI public-private partnerships,the comprehensive layout of AI infrastructure,and the strengthening of the domestic AI strategy to guide and the construction of the inter-national AI environment.As a preliminary attempt to analyze the internal logic of U.S.AI strategy and policy,this study also has some limita-tions.First,the analytical framework based on the AI industrial innovation system needs to be improved.In order to ensure the unity of the subsequent analysis,a more detailed division of the AI industrial innovation system is not made,and the internal complexity of the AI industrial system is simplified.Second,this study mainly explores the continuity and dynamics of the evolution of U.S.AI strategy and policy,aiming to gain insight into the development trend of U.S.na-tional AI strategy and policy through the dual attributes of strategy and policy evolution.Limited by space and the research purpose of this research,the influencing factors of continuity and dynamics are not further analyzed,and focusing on the deeper reasons for the evolution of the U.S.national AI strategy and policy is one of the possible research direc-tions in the future.

United Statesartificial intelligenceinnovation systemsstrategic evolution

吴逸菲、樊春良

展开 >

武汉大学政治与公共管理学院,武汉 430072

中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京 100190

中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院,北京 100049

美国 人工智能 创新系统 战略演化

国家社科基金重大项目

21ZDA017

2024

科学学与科学技术管理
中国科学学与科技政策研究会 天津市科学学研究所

科学学与科学技术管理

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.68
ISSN:1002-0241
年,卷(期):2024.45(7)