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精神分裂症患者长期住院的影响因素

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目的:分析精神分裂症患者长期住院的影响因素.方法:纳入我院 318 例精神分裂症患者,根据住院时间将其分为长期住院组(平均≥10 个月/年)和对照组(平均<10 个月/年).采用单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析患者长期住院的独立影响因素,绘制列线图预测模型并进行内部验证.结果:318 例精神分裂症患者中长期住院 126 例(39.62%).多因素Logistic回归分析显示年龄、病程、公职人员、已婚、大专及以上学历、照料者是父母/配偶/子女、省/市医保付费以及有精神残疾证是精神分裂患者长期住院的独立影响因素(P均<0.05).绘制列线图预测模型并进行内部验证得一致性指数(C-index)=0.803,区分度较好.结论:年龄、病程、职业、婚姻状态、文化程度、照料者和付费方式是精神分裂患者长期住院的独立影响因素,基于上述影响因素构建列线图预测模型可有效预测精神分裂患者的长期住院概率.
Influencing factors for long-term hospitalization in patients with schizophrenia
Objective:To analyze the influencing factors of long-term hospitalization in patients with schizophrenia.Method:318 patients with schizophrenia in our hospital were selected and divided into long-term hospitalization group(average≥10 months/year)and control group(average<10 months/year)accord-ing to the length of hospital stay.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were carried out to i-dentify the independent factors that influence long-term hospitalization in patients with schizophrenia.Based on the results of logistic regression analysis,a predictive nomogram was constructed,and subsequent internal valida-tion was conducted.Results:Of 318 patients with schizophrenia,126 cases,accounting for 39.62%,experi-enced long-term hospitalization.The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that several factors were independently associated with long-term hospitalization in patients with schizophrenia.These factors included age,duration of illness,working in a civilian government job,marital status(being married),educa-tional level(college degree or above),caregiver status(parents,spouses,or children),medical insurance re-sources(provincial or municipal coverage)and having a disability certificate due to mental illness.The predic-tive nomogram was developed,incorporating the aforementioned eight factors(all P<0.05).The internal valida-tion showed that C-index was 0.803,indicating a good level of discrimination.Conclusion:Age,duration of illness,occupation,marital status,educational level,caregiver,and payment method are independent factors that affect the long-term hospitalization of schizophrenic patients.Constructing a nomographic prediction model based on the above factors can effectively predict the long-term hospitalization probability of schizophrenic patients.

schizophrenialong-term hospitalizationinfluencing factorsnomogrampredictive model

杨映丹、胡孝芬、谢欣欣

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246003 安徽省安庆市第六人民医院

精神分裂症 长期住院 影响因素 列线图 预测模型

2024

临床精神医学杂志
南京医科大学附属脑科医院

临床精神医学杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.108
ISSN:1005-3220
年,卷(期):2024.34(1)
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