临床医学研究与实践2024,Vol.9Issue(15) :33-37.DOI:10.19347/j.cnki.2096-1413.202415009

女性围绝经期膝关节骨性关节炎早期预警模型的构建研究

Construction of early warning model of perimenopausal knee osteoarthritis in women

胡梦雨 苏同生 万兆新
临床医学研究与实践2024,Vol.9Issue(15) :33-37.DOI:10.19347/j.cnki.2096-1413.202415009

女性围绝经期膝关节骨性关节炎早期预警模型的构建研究

Construction of early warning model of perimenopausal knee osteoarthritis in women

胡梦雨 1苏同生 2万兆新2
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作者信息

  • 1. 中国人民解放军 63750 部队医院,陕西 西安,710005
  • 2. 陕西省中医医院,陕西 西安,710003
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摘要

目的 了解女性围绝经期膝关节骨性关节炎(KOA)的影响因素,建立围绝经期KOA早期预警模型,并检验其效能.方法 选取我院2019年1月至2021年1月收治的1 276例围绝经期女性进行回顾性调查.采用单因素分析、多因素分析和列线图分析围绝经期女性发生KOA的影响因素.结果 Logistic回归分析结果显示,体重、膝关节高强度运动、肝肾亏虚证、白细胞介素-1(IL-1)、肿瘤坏死因子-α(TNF-α)均是围绝经期女性发生KOA的危险因素,而雌二醇(E2)是保护因素(P<0.05).列线图分析表明,膝关节高强度运动、肝肾亏虚证、体重增加、IL-1和TNF-α水平增加、E2 水平降低对女性围绝经期是否发生KOA有显著的预测价值.结论 基于女性围绝经期KOA早期预警模型具备较准确的预测能力,综合预测准确性较高,通过概率计算可在多地区人群中使用.

Abstract

Objective To understand the influencing factors of perimenopausal knee osteoarthritis(KOA)in women,to establish an early warning model of perimenopausal KOA,and to test its efficacy.Methods A retrospective investigation was conducted on 1 276 perimenopausal women admitted in our hospital from January 2019 to January 2021.The influencing factors of the occurrence of KOA in perimenopausal women were analyzed by univariate analysis,multivariate analysis and nomogram.Results Logistic regression analysis results showed that weight,high-intensity exercise of knee joint,deficiency syndrome of liver and kidney,interlenkin-1(IL-1)and tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α)were all risk factors for the occurrence of KOA in perimenopausal women,while estradiol(E2)was protective factor(P<0.05).The analysis of the column chart showed that high-intensity exercise of knee joint,deficiency syndrome of liver and kidney,weight gain,increase of IL-1 and TNF-α levels,and decrease of E2 level had significant predictive value for the occurrence of KOA in perimenopausal women.Conclusion The early warning model based on perimenopausal KOA in women has relatively accurate prediction ability,high comprehensive prediction accuracy,and can be used in multi-regional population through probability calculation.

关键词

女性/围绝经期/膝关节骨性关节炎/早期预警模型

Key words

women/perimenopause/knee osteoarthritis/early warning model

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基金项目

陕西省重点研发计划(2019SF-016)

陕西省重点研发计划(2019SF-314)

出版年

2024
临床医学研究与实践

临床医学研究与实践

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参考文献量25
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