Prediction Research on Shanxi's R&D Expenditure Input Based on GM(1,1)Model
Employing the grey GM(1,1)model and taking the R&D expenditure input data of Shanxi province from 2015 to 2022 as the sample series,this study predicts the R&D expenditure input of Shanxi province from 2023 to 2030.It is discovered that the R&D expenditure input in Shanxi province will increase from 21.11 billion yuan in 2020 to 38.04 billion yuan in 2025,with an average annual growth rate of 12.5%,which is considerably different from the target value of 20%.In 2030,the R&D expenditure input in Shanxi province will reach 67.8 billion yuan,still remaining at a relatively low level nationwide.Based on this,three countermeasures and suggestions on improving the scale of R&D expenditure input in Shanxi province are proposed in order to provide decision-making references for government functional departments.