Land scale management risks and prevention strategies of farmers in Jilin Province based on ISM and SEM models
The mechanism of risk formation and the relationship between risks in agricultural land scale man-agement were revealed in order to provide a basis for risk prevention and governance in agricultural land scale man-agement.Through a questionnaire survey,the Interpretative Structural Model(ISM)and Structural Equation Model(SEM)were adopted to quantitatively evaluate and analyze the risks and formation mechanisms of agricul-tural land scale management in Jilin Province.The Interpretative Structural Model(ISM)results indicate that the various risks of land scale management among farmers interact in a hierarchical form,as the level increases,the risk level also increases continuously.Natural risk F1,market risk F2 and technical risk F3 are the most basic risks faced in land scale management.The results of Structural Equation Modeling(SEM)indicate that there is a connection between various risk factors,and different risk events have different impacts on risk factors.The risk events S3 of water and drought disasters,S12 of information asymmetry in agricultural product markets,S15 of in-adequate skill training for farmers,and S23 of inadequate social security for farmers have a significant impact on natural risk F1,market risk F2,and technical risk F3,respectively.In this regard,some suggestions on farmers'land scale management risk preventions in JiLin province were proposed to strengthen the construction of support-ing facilities and establish a long-term risk warning system;to strengthen market supervision of agricultural prod-ucts and expand sales channels;to pay attention to the introduction of agricultural talents and strengthen agricul-tural technology innovation and application;to improve social security and prevent social risks;to fully exert gov-ernment functions and actively promote land scale management policies;to strengthen risk awareness of scale oper-ators and improve the ability to resist risks.
scale management of agricultural landrisk preventionInterpretative Structural ModelStructu-ral Equation Model
万方数据
维普
