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基于非期望产出的河南省农业用水效率测度及影响因素分析

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水是农业生产不可或缺的物质基础,提高农业生产用水效率对于农业可持续发展和国家粮食安全具有重大意义.以农业灰水足迹作为非期望产出指标,采用超效率SBM模型和Malmquist指数,对 2005-2020 年河南省 18 个地市农业生产用水效率进行静态和动态科学测度,并采用Tobit模型分析农业用水效率的影响因素.结果表明:① 2005-2020 年河南省农业用水效率整体呈现增加的态势,但相对于全省平均水平,仍然有一半地区未达到全省平均用水效率.此外,豫西、豫中、豫南、豫东、豫北地区农业生产用水效率呈现逐级降低的分布格局.② 农业全要素生产率的变化主要依赖于技术效率变化指数,其变化趋势与技术效率变化指数变化趋势基本一致.③ 农业用水比重、第二产业占GDP比重对农业生产用水效率具有显著的抑制作用,而人均GDP、第一产业占GDP比重、农业种植结构对农业生产用水效率具有显著的促进作用.因此,要大力发展农业节水技术,减少农业用水;注重提高农户节水意识;重视农业生产用水效率的区域差异,因地制宜的加快制定符合区域发展的农业用水政策.
Measurement of agricultural water use efficiency in Henan Province based on unexpected output and analysis of its influencing factors
Water is an indispensable material basis for agricultural production,and improving the efficiency of wa-ter use in agricultural production is of great significance to the sustainable development of agriculture and national food security.Agricultural grey water footprint is utilized as an undesirable output indicator to measure the water use efficiency in agricultural production across 18 cities in Henan Province from 2005 to 2020,using the super-SBM model and Malmquist index for static and dynamic analysis.Additionally,the Tobit model is utilized to an-alyze the factors that influence agricultural water use efficiency.The results indicated that:① From 2005 to 2020,the overall agricultural water use efficiency in Henan Province showed an increasing trend,but compared with the provincial average level,half of the areas still failed to reach the provincial average water use efficiency.In addition,the water use efficiency of agricultural production in western Henan,central Henan,southern Henan,eastern Henan and northern Henan decreased step by step.② The change of Malmquist index mainly relies on the change index of technical efficiency,and its change trend is basically consistent with the change index of technical efficiency.③ The proportion of agricultural water use and the proportion of secondary industry in GDP have a significant inhibitory effect on agricultural water use efficiency.Conversely,per capita GDP,the share of the primary industry in GDP,agricultural planting structure,significantly promote agricultural water use efficiency.Therefore,it is necessary to vigorously develop agricultural water-saving technologies and reduce agricultural water use.It is important to en-hance water-saving awareness among farmers and pay attention to regional differences in agricultural water use ef-ficiency.Pay attention to the regional differences of water use efficiency in agricultural production,and accelerate the formulation of agricultural water use policies in line with regional development according to local conditions.

unexpected outputagricultural water use efficiencysuper-SBM modelmalmquist indexto-bit model

刘明珠

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河南财经政法大学 农业农村发展学院,河南 郑州 450046

非期望产出 农业用水效率 超效率SBM Malmquist指数 Tobit模型

河南省哲学社会科学规划项目中国工程院战略研究与咨询项目

2022BJJ0192023-XY-31

2024

粮食科技与经济
湖南省粮食经济科技学会 中诸粮管理总公司湖南分公司

粮食科技与经济

影响因子:0.505
ISSN:1007-1458
年,卷(期):2024.49(1)
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