粮食与饲料工业2024,Issue(2) :1-3.DOI:10.7633/j.issn.1003-6202.2024.02.001

2023年我国玉米市场运行情况与2024年行情展望

Operation of domestic corn market in 2023 and market outlook in 2024

刘石磊
粮食与饲料工业2024,Issue(2) :1-3.DOI:10.7633/j.issn.1003-6202.2024.02.001

2023年我国玉米市场运行情况与2024年行情展望

Operation of domestic corn market in 2023 and market outlook in 2024

刘石磊1
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作者信息

  • 1. 国家粮油信息中心,北京 100834
  • 折叠

摘要

2023年中国玉米生产实现面积、单产、总产三增,玉米进口数量增加,玉米进口国结构发生较大变化,随着巴西玉米入华通道开启,玉米进口来源地更加多元化,有效保障了中国国内玉米稳定供应.中国玉米饲料消费实现结构性增长,饲料消费继续增长,工业消费有所下滑.2023年中国玉米价格整体呈现震荡下行走势.受宏观政策及气候因素影响,未来玉米市场影响因素仍较复杂,预计2024年上半年玉米价格重心继续下移,但节奏上可能呈现前高后低走势,预计下半年玉米价格或开启新一轮上涨行情.

Abstract

In 2023,the domestic corn production area,per unit yield and total output increased,the number of corn imports in-creased,and the structure of corn importing countries changed greatly.With the opening of Brazils corn import channel to Chi-na,China's corn import sources will be more diversified,effectively ensuring the stable supply of domestic corn.Domestic corn feed consumption achieved structural growth,feed consumption continued to grow,and industrial consumption declined.In 2023,domestic corn prices showed a downward trend.Influenced by macro policies and climate factors,the influencing factors of corn market in the future are still complicated.It is expected that the center of gravity of corn price will continue to move down in the first half of 2024,but the rhythm may show a trend of high before and then low.It is expected that corn price may start a new round of rising market in the second half of the year.

关键词

玉米/供需形势/消费/价格/行情展望

Key words

corn/supply and demand situation/consumption/price/market outlook

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出版年

2024
粮食与饲料工业
国家粮食储备局 武汉科学研究设计院

粮食与饲料工业

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.513
ISSN:1003-6202
参考文献量7
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