首页|水果贸易网络演变特征与影响机制——对《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》自由贸易区的实证研究

水果贸易网络演变特征与影响机制——对《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》自由贸易区的实证研究

Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Mechanism of Fruit Trade Network——Empirical Research on the Free Trade Area of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement

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中国水果对外贸易额的三分之二以上集中在《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》自由贸易区,研究协定自由贸易区水果贸易网络演变特征和影响机制,对于推动中国水果对外贸易合作深化、巩固多边贸易伙伴关系、促进中国水果贸易发展具有重要意义.文章采用缔约方双边贸易数据,在揭示协定自由贸易区水果贸易网络演变特征的基础上,从经贸环境、要素禀赋、地理文化、制度环境四个方面探究网络演变影响机制.基于社会网络理论、要素禀赋理论和国家竞争优势理论,构建了水果贸易网络演变特征与影响机制理论分析框架,从社会网络角度出发,聚焦于协定自由贸易区,为更好地利用协定规则开展水果贸易提供支撑.研究表明:(1)2005-2021年,自由贸易区水果贸易网络密度由0.17上升到0.40,呈现出高聚类、短路径的"小世界性"特征.(2)缔约方的个体特征异质性强,中国、泰国、越南三个国家加权出度和加权入度分别占自由贸易区的68.10%和67.27%,且相互联系紧密,一定程度上形成"富人俱乐部".(3)2005-2021年,贸易网络的核心国数量由1个增至10个,边缘国数量由11个降为1个.(4)两国之间国内生产总值、水果产量、双边班轮运输联通性指数和全球治理指数差值等差异显著影响国家之间水果贸易规模的扩大.因此,文章提出政策启示:充分利用协定规则,创造自由贸易区水果贸易发展新机遇;针对中国水果贸易重点国家,采取具体贸易策略;加强基础设施建设,高效对接区域统一大市场.
More than two-thirds of China's foreign trade value in fruits concentrates on the free trade area of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement.Research on evolution characteristics and influencing mechanism of the fruit trade network in the free trade area under the Agreementis of great significance in promoting in-depth cooperation in China's fruit foreign trade,consolidating multilateral trade partnerships and promoting the development of China's fruit trade.In this article,bilateral trade data of the Parties was used to reveal the evolution characteristics of fruit trade network in free trade area,and the influencing mechanism of network evolution was explored from four aspects:economic and trade environment,factor endowment,geography and culture,and institutional environment.Based on the theories of social network,factor endowment and national competitive advantage,the article constructed a theoretical analytical framework of fruit trade network evolution characteristics and influencing mechanism,focusing on the free trade area under the Agreement from the perspective of social network to provide support for better utilization of the agreement rules for fruit trade.The results showed that:(1)From 2005 to 2021,the density of fruit trade network in free trade area increased from 0.17 to 0.40,showing the characteristics of"small world"with high clustering and short paths.(2)The individual characteristics of the Parties were highly heterogeneous with China,Thailand and Vietnam,accounting for 68.10%and 67.27%of the total weighted out and weighted in free trade area,which were closely linked to each other and formed a"rich man's club"to a certain extent.(3)From 2005 to 2021,the number of core countries increased from 1 to 10 and the number of peripheral countries decreased from 11 to 1.(4)Differences in gross domestic product,fruit production,bilateral liner transportation connectivity index,and the gaps of global governance index between two countries had a significant impact on the scale of fruit trade.Therefore,this article put forward policy insights as follows:making full use of the rules of the Agreement to create new opportunities for the development of fruit trade in free trade area,adopting specific trade strategies for the Parties that are the focus of China's fruit trade,and strengthening the construction of infrastructure to efficiently connect to the unified regional market.

Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreementfruit tradesocial network analysisnetwork evolutioninfluencing mechanism

康晓茹、赵俊晔、张咏华

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中国农业科学院农业信息研究所 北京 100081

河南大学经济学院 开封 475001

区域全面经济伙伴关系协定 水果贸易 社会网络分析 网络演变 影响机制

国家社会科学基金一般项目中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目

20BTJ024CAAS-ASTIP-2023-AII

2023

林业经济

林业经济

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2023.45(9)
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