首页|疫情冲击下产业链延伸模式对于农民增收韧性的影响研究

疫情冲击下产业链延伸模式对于农民增收韧性的影响研究

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在新冠疫情冲击的背景下,研究如何保障农民增收韧性对于实现乡村振兴和共同富裕的目标具有重要意义.文章利用2016-2022年的市级面板数据,在综合测算产业链延伸指数的基础上,采用双重差分模型实证研究了疫情背景下产业链延伸模式对于农民增收的作用机制.结果表明:(1)疫情冲击下产业链延伸模式对农民收入具有正向提升作用,相较于未采用该模式的地区,采用该模式的地区农民收入提升约12%.(2)异质性检验发现,疫情冲击下产业链延伸模式对农民收入的影响存在区域差异性,其中北方林区和南方林区的增收效果更为显著.(3)疫情背景下产业链延伸程度对农民收入的影响存在城镇化率的单门槛效应,当城镇化水平超过门槛值50.12%时,产业链延伸程度对农民增收的正向效应会加强.(4)在机制检验方面,疫情冲击下产业链延伸模式通过提升农业劳动生产率来保障农民增收韧性,农业劳动生产率在其中发挥了部分中介效应.文章创新性地完善了产业链延伸模式的概念,丰富了产业链延伸对于脱贫的作用机理,为深入探讨外生冲击与农民收入的相互关系提供了新视角.基于研究结论与讨论,提出加强农业产业链延伸、因地制宜制定发展策略、提高地区城镇化水平以及全面提升劳动生产率等政策启示.
Research on the impact of industrial chain extension mode on farmers'income increase resilience under COVID-19 epidemic shock
In the context of COVID-19 epidemic shock,it is of great significance to study how to ensure farmers'income increase resilience for realizing the goal of rural revitalization and common prosperity.Based on the municipal panel data from 2016-2022 and the comprehensive measurement of industrial chain extension index,this paper empirically studied the mechanism of industrial chain extension model on farmers'income increase under the background of COVID-19 epidemic.The results showed that:(1)The industrial chain extension model had a positive effect on farmers'income under the epidemic shock.Compared with the regions that had not adopted this model,farmers'income in the regions that adopted this model increased by about 12%.(2)Heterogeneity test showed that the impact of the industrial chain extension mode on farmers'income was different among regions,and the income-increasing effect in the northern forest region and the southern forest region was more significant.(3)In the context of the epidemic,the impact of industrial chain extension on farmers'income had a single threshold effect of urbanization rate.When the urbanization level exceeded the threshold valueof 50.12%,the positive effect of industrial chain extension on farmers'income increase would be strengthened.(4)In terms of mechanism testing,under the epidemic shock,the extension model of the industrial chain ensured the resilience of farmers'income by improving agricultural labor productivity,which played a partial mediating effect.This paper innovatively improved the concept of industrial chain extension mode,enriched the mechanism of industrial chain extension on poverty alleviation,and provided a new perspective for in-depth discussion on the relationship between external shocks and farmers'income.Based on the research conclusions and discussions,this paper proposed policy implications such as strengthening the extension of agricultural industrial chain,forming development strategies according to local conditions,improving regional urbanization levels,and comprehensively promoting the labor productivity.

COVID-19 epidemicindustrial chain extension modefarmers'incomedifference-in-differences model

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南京农业大学经济管理学院 南京 210095

新冠疫情 产业链延伸模式 农民收入 双重差分模型

南京农业大学大学生创新创业训练计划

202216XX405

2024

林业经济

林业经济

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.46(1)
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