首页|林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展的影响——基于门槛效应模型

林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展的影响——基于门槛效应模型

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林业是绿色发展的主体,更是促进人与自然和谐共生和生态文明建设的核心.文章在构建指标体系测度中国各省份林业创新生态系统和林业绿色发展水平的基础上,基于2012-2022年中国26个省份的面板数据,实证检验林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展的影响,并以林业绿色技术创新为门槛变量,构建林业创新生态系统与林业绿色发展的非线性面板回归模型.研究发现:(1)2012-2022年,中国各省份的林业绿色发展水平呈上升趋势.林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展有正向促进作用,提升1个单位的林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展的推进系数为0.1300.(2)林业绿色技术创新通过了单一门槛检验,表明林业绿色发展会因林业绿色技术创新水平的差异而呈现阶段性特征.(3)林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展的影响效应整体表现为东部地区大于中部地区和西部地区,在资源型区域的影响效应大于非资源型地区.文章探讨了林业创新生态系统对林业绿色发展的影响效应,构建了"林业创新生态系统—林业绿色技术创新—林业绿色发展"的分析框架,丰富了林业创新生态系统赋能林业绿色发展的作用机理.基于研究结论和讨论,提出持续构建林业创新生态系统、加快林业绿色技术转化、因地制宜构建林业创新生态系统等政策启示.
The impact of forest innovation ecosystem on forestry green development——based on threshold effect model
Forestry is the mainstay of green development and a core for promoting harmonious coexistence between human and nature as well as the construction of ecological civilization.Based on the construction of an indicator system to measure forestry innovation ecosystem and forestry green development level in provincial administrative regions in China,this paper empirically tested the impact of forestry innovation ecosystem on forestry green development by using panel data from 26 provincial administrative regions in China from 2012 to 2022.Additionally,it constructed a nonlinear panel regression model between forestry innovation ecosystem and forestry green development,with forestry green technology innovation as the threshold variable.The research found that:(1)From 2012 to 2022,forestry green development level in provincial administrative regions in China showed an upward trend.Forestry innovation ecosystem positively promoted forestry green development,and an increase in forestry innovation ecosystem by one unit resulted in a coefficient of 0.1300 for promoting forestry green development.(2)Forestry green technology innovation had passed the single threshold test,indicating that the forestry green development exhibited staged characteristics due to differences in forestry green technology innovation level.(3)The overall impact of the forestry innovation ecosystem on forestry green development was greater in the eastern region than in the central and western regions,and greater in resource-based regions than in non-resource-based regions.This paper explored the impact of forestry innovation ecosystem on forestry green development,established an analytical framework of"forestry innovation ecosystem-forestry green technology innovation-forestry green development",and enriched the mechanism of how forestry innovation ecosystem enabled forestry green development.Based on the research conclusions and discussions,this paper proposed policy implications such as continuously building a forestry innovation ecosystem,accelerating the transformation of forestry green technology,and adapting measures to local conditions in constructing forestry innovation ecosystem.

forestry innovation ecosystemgreen developmentpanel threshold modelfive helix theory

叶遄、朱艺琦、杨萌萌、洪燕真

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福建农林大学经济与管理学院 福州 350002

国家林业和草原局集体林业改革发展研究中心 福州 350002

福建农林大学乡村振兴学院 福州 350002

林业创新生态系统 绿色发展 面板门槛模型 五螺旋理论

国家自然科学基金面上项目福建省创新战略研究项目福建省社会科学重大项目

720730292021R0030FJ2021Z014

2024

林业经济

林业经济

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.46(2)
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