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数字经济发展对农民收入的影响研究

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数字经济逐渐成为经济发展新动能,对农民增收产生重大影响.文章基于2011-2022年中国283个城市面板数据,构建双向固定效应模型和中介效应模型,探究数字经济对农民收入的增收效应及其背后机制,并深入考察数字经济对农民收入的异质性影响.研究发现:(1)数字经济发展能够显著提高农民收入,影响效应为1.5550,在更换解释变量衡量方式、缩尾处理等稳健性检验后仍成立,进一步研究发现数字经济发展水平对林业收入的影响效应为0.0122,即数字经济发展水平每提高1个单位,农民林业收入就会增加0.0122万元.(2)创业活跃度和社会网络是数字经济提升农民收入的重要机制,由Sobel检验可知两者的中介效应占比分别为28.93%和35.45%.(3)数字经济对农民收入的增收效应存在明显的区域异质性,数字经济发展水平每提高1个单位,东部、中部和西部地区农民收入将分别增加3.2952万元、3.3059万元和1.5870万元.此外,数字经济的增收效应随农民收入水平的提高而递增,位于0.90分位点上的影响系数为6.3648.文章基于AMO理论剖析数字经济如何影响农民收入,并从社会网络视角分析数字经济的增收效应,提供了新的分析视角;同时依据农民的不同收入水平,对数字经济的增收效应进行异质性分析,为制定差异化政策提供了经验依据.基于研究结论,提出深度融合数字经济和农村发展、强化数字经济在创业活跃度上的提升作用等政策启示.
Research on the impact of digital economy development on farmers'income
Digital economy is gradually becoming a new driving force for economic development,which has a significant impact on increasing farmers'income.Based on panel data from 283 cities in China from 2011 to 2022,this paper constructed a two-way fixed effect model and a mediating effect model to explore the income increasing effect and underlying mechanism of digital economy on farmers'income,and deeply examined the heterogeneous impact of digital economy on farmers'income.The research found that:(1)The development of digital economy could significantly increase farmers'income,with an impact effect of 1.5550.After conducting robustness tests such as changing explanatory variable measurement methods and tail reduction,the effect of digital economy on forestry income was still valid.Further research found that the impact effect of the level of digital economy development on forestry income was 0.0122,which meant that for every unit increase in the level of digital economy development,farmers'forestry income would increase by 122 yuan.(2)Entrepreneurial activity and social networks were important mechanisms for digital economy to increase farmers'income.According to Sobel's test,the mediating effects of the two were 28.93%and 35.45%,respectively.(3)There was significant regional heterogeneity in the income increasing effect of digital economy on farmers.For every unit increase in the level of digital economy development,farmers'income in the eastern,central and western regions would increase by 32952,33059 and 15870 yuan,respectively.In addition,the income increasing effect of digital economy increased with the improvement of farmers'income level,with an impact coefficient of 6.3648 at the 0.90 percentile.This paper analyzed how digital economy affected farmers'income based on AMO theory,and analyzed the income increasing effect of digital economy from the perspective of social networks,provided a new analytical per-spective.At the same time,based on farmers'different income levels,heterogeneity analysis of the income increasing effect of digital economy provided empirical basis for formulating differentiated policies.Based on the research findings,some policy implications such as deepening integration of digital economy and rural development,and strengthening the role of digital economy in enhancing entre-preneurial activity were proposed.

digital economyfarmers'incomeentrepreneurial activitysocial networks

周樱绮、胡雍

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浙江工商大学 杭州 310018

数字经济 农民收入 创业活跃度 社会网络

杭州市哲学社会科学规划课题

Z22JC089

2024

林业经济

林业经济

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.46(6)